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Sunday, March 11, 2007
top prospects: cardinals
cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals. it's not good.
who cares, they got pujols.
1. Colby Rasmus, of
2. Jaime Garcia, lhp
3. Chris Perez, rhp
4. Blake Hawksworth, rhp
5. Jon Jay, of
6. Bryan Anderson, c
7. Adam Ottavino, rhp
8. Mark McCormick, rhp
9. Josh Kinney, rhp
10. Darryl Jones, of
the talent they have is far away.
Career Batting Statistics for Colby Rasmus:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2005 Johns City App 19 Stl Rk 219 24 73 7 21 .099 .667 .192 .296
2006 Quad Cties Midw 20 Stl A 306 32 55 11 25 .095 .820 .143 .310
2006 Palm Beach FSL 20 Stl A+ 195 30 35 5 9 .133 .821 .088 .254
colby rasmus is a poor man's andrew muccutchen. he's a little older, a little farther along in his development, and a little less talented. but he's still very talented. also he's left-handed. he could end up better. he showed good patience at high-a.
Career Pitching Statistics for Jaime Garcia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2006 Quad Cties Midw 20 Stl A 77.2 67 1 18 80 .057 .733 .005 2.90
2006 Palm Beach FSL 20 Stl A+ 77.1 84 3 16 51 .048 .839 .011 3.84
jaime garcia has really good control and really good home run limitation. what a surprise, he's a lefty.
should be looking good for a major-league career, but won't be doing that strikeout thing.
Career Pitching Statistics for Chris Perez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 Miami NCAA 20 NCA 18.2 17 2 18 30 .198 .589 .047 7.71
2005 Miami NCAA 21 NCA 45.2 34 2 25 52 .128 .696 .017 2.56
2006 Miami NCAA 22 NCA 52.2 33 1 28 62 .128 .675 .008 1.88
2006 Quad Cties Midw 22 Stl A 29.1 20 0 19 32 .150 .704 .000 2.15
chris perez has some good contact rates and some really good home run rates, but control is an issue. should be useful in a bullpen.
Career Pitching Statistics for Blake Hawksworth:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 Johns City App 19 Stl Rk 66.0 58 8 18 61 .066 .762 .041 3.14
2002 New Jersey NYPL 19 Stl A- 9.2 6 0 2 8 .054 .771 .000 0.00
2003 Peoria Midw 20 Stl A 54.2 37 0 12 57 .056 .716 .000 2.30
2003 Palm Beach FSL 20 Stl A+ 32.0 28 2 11 32 .081 .742 .022 3.94
2004 Palm Beach FSL 21 Stl A+ 10.2 10 2 3 11 .067 .738 .065 5.91
2005 New Jersey NYPL 22 Stl A- 14.2 18 0 10 12 .139 .806 .000 7.98
2006 Palm Beach FSL 23 Stl A+ 83.2 75 0 19 55 .055 .831 .000 2.47
2006 Springfiel Tex 23 Stl AA 79.2 72 8 31 66 .091 .788 .033 3.39
blake hawksworth had some injuries, and he's back. he's got decent control, decent contact rates, and good home run prevention. if he stays healthy, he'll play in the majors.
Career Batting Statistics for Jon Jay:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2004 Miami NCAA 19 NCA 237 36 37 6 15 .132 .844 .105 .368
2005 Miami NCAA 20 NCA 213 36 26 1 20 .145 .878 .112 .408
2006 Miami NCAA 21 NCA 232 62 30 6 16 .211 .871 .109 .361
2006 Quad Cties Midw 21 Stl A 236 31 27 3 16 .116 .886 .091 .342
jon jay is a left-handed batter who makes really good contact. he'll have to develop power if he wants to be a star.
Career Batting Statistics for Bryan Anderson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2005 Johns City App 18 Stl Rk 159 16 29 6 9 .091 .818 .115 .331
2006 Quad Cties Midw 19 Stl A 381 42 66 3 32 .099 .827 .111 .302
bryan anderson is a catcher with very good hitting skills. he's young, and he bats left-handed. he's got decent patience, good contact, and line-drive power. i really like this kid.
Career Pitching Statistics for Adam Ottavino:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 nrtheastrn NCAA 18 NCA 63.2 48 1 38 64 .137 .732 .006 3.25
2005 nrtheastrn NCAA 19 NCA 96.0 78 7 45 106 .109 .710 .027 3.09
2006 nrtheastrn NCAA 20 NCA 93.2 71 4 33 120 .086 .659 .017 2.98
2006 State Coll NYPL 20 Stl A- 28.2 23 1 13 26 .107 .761 .012 3.14
2006 Quad Cties Midw 20 Stl A 36.2 28 3 19 38 .121 .725 .030 3.44
that quad cities team had a lot of talent. adam ottavino has decent strikeout skills and decent home run limitation but poor control. he'll need to work that up to pitch in the majors.
Career Pitching Statistics for Mark Mccormick:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 Baylor NCAA 19 NCA 64.1 56 2 50 66 .167 .735 .011 5.32
2004 Baylor NCAA 20 NCA 46.0 41 2 36 42 .167 .765 .015 4.70
2005 Baylor NCAA 21 NCA 112.2 73 4 66 115 .138 .720 .014 2.96
2005 New Jersey NYPL 21 Stl A- 6.0 1 0 3 10 .136 .474 .000 0.00
2005 Quad Cties Midw 21 Stl A 42.2 41 4 28 45 .142 .734 .032 5.48
2006 Quad Cties Midw 22 Stl A 52.1 38 3 38 63 .163 .677 .023 3.96
2006 Palm Beach FSL 22 Stl A+ 4.0 5 0 3 5 .150 .706 .000 11.25
mark mccormick has lots of talent but terrible control. i don't think he's gonna make it. he might make it eventually.
Career Pitching Statistics for Josh Kinney:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
1999 Quincy NCAA 20 NCA 82.0 77 5 17 61 .050 .811 .019 3.29
2000 Quincy NCAA 21 NCA 79.0 82 1 30 42 .086 .868 .004 3.76
2001 Quincy NCAA 22 NCA 85.0 72 5 19 83 .055 .746 .020 2.33
2001 River City Fron 22 Ind 21.0 18 1 7 18 .080 .778 .016 1.71
2001 New Jersey NYPL 22 Stl A- 5.2 2 0 0 5 .000 .737 .000 0.00
2001 Peoria Midw 22 Stl A 41.0 47 1 15 35 .081 .794 .007 4.39
2002 Potomac Caro 23 Stl A+ 55.0 52 2 23 42 .096 .806 .011 2.29
2003 Palm Beach FSL 24 Stl A+ 41.1 38 0 10 35 .058 .784 .000 1.52
2003 Tennessee Sou 24 Stl AA 39.2 19 2 12 48 .080 .652 .022 0.68
2004 Palm Beach FSL 25 Stl A+ 8.1 8 1 6 12 .154 .636 .048 4.32
2004 Tennessee Sou 25 Stl AA 55.2 67 6 34 48 .127 .795 .032 5.50
2005 Springfiel Tex 26 Stl AA 42.0 28 2 12 42 .072 .727 .018 1.29
2005 Memphis PCL 26 Stl AAA 25.2 40 4 19 25 .140 .786 .043 7.36
2006 Memphis PCL 27 Stl AAA 71.0 46 2 29 76 .101 .707 .011 1.52
2006 St. Louis MLB 27 Stl MLB 25.0 17 3 8 22 .080 .761 .043 3.24
the fact that josh kinney's on this list is a testament to the thinness of the system. at 27, there's nothing to project. he's a major-leaguer.
Career Batting Statistics for Daryl Jones:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2005 Johns City App 18 Stl Rk 184 28 41 2 7 .132 .777 .063 .209
2006 Johns City App 19 Stl Rk 68 11 8 3 4 .139 .882 .117 .265
2006 Quad Cties Midw 19 Stl A 82 9 23 1 6 .099 .720 .119 .235
daryl jones is a young outfielder who looks like he can make it. he's got all kinds of speed and strength and everything and needs to learn the game.
kevin goldstein has mostly the same guys but in a better order. he has cody haerther and tyler greene instead of jon jay and josh kinney. i would choose jay and haerther. his sleeper is blake king.
Career Batting Statistics for Cody Haerther:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Johns City App 20 Stl Rk 227 22 30 3 18 .088 .868 .107 .332
2004 Peoria Midw 21 Stl A 327 36 59 5 22 .099 .820 .101 .316
2005 Palm Beach FSL 22 Stl A+ 174 18 31 8 15 .094 .822 .161 .318
2005 Springfiel Tex 22 Stl AA 208 11 44 10 11 .050 .788 .128 .298
2006 Springfiel Tex 23 Stl AA 414 38 59 11 30 .084 .857 .115 .277
cody haerther is a lefty with good contact who needs a little more patience and a little more power. i like his chances.
Career Batting Statistics for Tyler Greene:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2004 Ga Tech NCAA 21 NCA 258 41 68 7 19 .137 .736 .137 .273
2005 Ga Tech NCAA 22 NCA 269 44 71 12 18 .141 .736 .152 .372
2005 New Jersey NYPL 22 Stl A- 139 20 37 1 12 .126 .734 .127 .261
2005 Palm Beach FSL 22 Stl A+ 85 7 28 2 4 .076 .671 .105 .271
2006 Quad Cties Midw 23 Stl A 224 32 65 15 11 .125 .710 .164 .287
2006 Palm Beach FSL 23 Stl A+ 269 33 90 5 11 .109 .665 .089 .224
tyler greene is a shortstop with good speed who just doesn't look like he's gonna have enough to make it. hitting-wise. i mean, the problem is hitting. he's got some power but he doesn't make contact. and he doesn't have enough power that it's ok that he doesn't make contact. he just doesn't look like he's gonna make it.
Career Pitching Statistics for Blake King:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2006 Johns City App 19 Stl Rk 62.2 37 3 29 74 .114 .671 .020 3.02
blake king had a pretty good start there in the rookie leagues.
couple more guys.
Career Batting Statistics for Skip Schumaker:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1999 Loyola Mmt NCAA 19 NCA 42 6 9 0 1 .125 .786 .030 .238
2000 calsantab NCAA 20 NCA 14 0 3 0 3 .000 .786 .273 .286
2001 calsantab NCAA 21 NCA 254 32 31 1 22 .112 .878 .103 .400
2001 New Jersey NYPL 21 Stl A- 163 30 33 0 11 .155 .798 .085 .253
2002 Potomac Caro 22 Stl A+ 553 47 84 2 26 .078 .848 .060 .287
2003 Tennessee Sou 23 Stl AA 344 41 54 2 23 .106 .843 .086 .251
2004 Tennessee Sou 24 Stl AA 517 62 61 4 35 .107 .882 .086 .316
2005 Memphis PCL 25 Stl AAA 448 31 54 7 27 .065 .879 .086 .287
2005 St. Louis MLB 25 Stl MLB 24 2 2 0 1 .077 .917 .045 .250
2006 Memphis PCL 26 Stl AAA 373 26 48 3 16 .065 .871 .058 .306
2006 St. Louis MLB 26 Stl MLB 54 5 6 1 1 .085 .889 .042 .185
skip schumaker is a centerfielder with speed and contact who bats left-handed. you know where i'm going with this. if he works the count, he can be an on-base guy against tough pitching. with his defense, he's a good guy to have on a major-league bench.
Career Batting Statistics for Jonathan Edwards:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2006 Johns City App 18 Stl Rk 155 23 33 4 17 .129 .787 .172 .266
johnathan edwards. good start in rookie ball.
the cardinals are fine. they got albert pujols, chris carpenter, and guys who can play. that's all they need.
Comments:
how is the "walconpow" system better than baseball prospectus' EqA "(H + TB + 1.5*(BB + HBP + SB) + SH + SF) divided by (AB + BB + HBP + SH + SF + CS + SB)." how can it be THAT much better than a simple stat like OPS?
#posted by 
:
3/11/2007
:
3/11/2007
thanks for asking. my system is not a performance metric, as EqA and OPS are. my system is designed for skills evaluation, to determine a player's value to a team and to predict future performance.
the other thing you can do with my system is look at matchups. how will this batter do against this pitcher. different types of players fare differently in different types of situations.
Post a Commentthe other thing you can do with my system is look at matchups. how will this batter do against this pitcher. different types of players fare differently in different types of situations.
