in case you're wondering, the team i bet on is listed on the left. if they're at home, it says "v." if they're away, it says "at".
 

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i chose the marlins because the cubs offense is terrible. and wood could possibly have a breakdown. i chose the mets because floyd walks too many people. and the mets have patient hitters. i chose the braves because sosa can be extremely effective. especially when he throws strikes. especially in that park. i think the braves are a little undervalued now because they have had a slow start, and bullpen problems. but bobby cox will get it together. also, the braves lineup is good, even without mccann. and who is mike thompson?

rockies i think are often good to bet against on the road. balls break so much more that it gives their hitters trouble. and brad penny has a big-breaking curve. cardinals i think marquis can have success against the giants low-power, high-contact lineup. and the cardinals high-power, low-contact hitters can beat morris, who is not having that good a year. also they have pujols. athletics contact hitters can do well against vazquez, i think. and saarloos can do reasonably well against that lineup. angels, john lackey is much better than vicente padilla. twins. johan is undervalued because of his typical slow start. but he's a killer. cleveland's lineup is strong, but that's exactly when a dominant pitcher has the most value.
 

the lines have moved. the mets are now -134, the a's are +159, and the angels are +108. i placed those bets again. the marlins are down to +108, the braves -105, and the dodgers -161, so i'm feeling pretty good about those bets. interestingly, the dodgers line has moved so much that i could now bet the rockies and guarantee a profit, but i feel that my expectation is higher if i keep the action.
 

. . . and the results are in!

marlins won +11.30
mets won (twice) +20.00
braves lost -10.00
dodgers won +10.00
cardinals won +10.00
a's lost (twice) -20.00
angles won (twice) +21.20
twins won +10.00

total: +52.50
 

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