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Thursday, March 01, 2007
top prospects: phillies
baseball america's top ten phillies prospects, with commentary by me:
1. Carlos Carrasco, rhp
2. Kyle Drabek, rhp
3. Adrian Cardenas, ss/2b
4. Edgar Garcia, rhp
5. Scott Mathieson, rhp
6. Josh Outman, lhp
7. Michael Bourn, of
8. J.A. Happ, lhp
9. Matt Maloney, lhp
10. Greg Golson, of
this is a crappy system. there's very little upper-level talent. there is some talent in the lower levels, so maybe it will be a good system in a year or two.
Career Pitching Statistics for Carlos Carrasco:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 GCL Phils GCL 17 Phi Rk 48.0 53 2 15 34 .071 .827 .012 3.56
2005 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 5.0 3 0 1 2 .053 .889 .000 1.80
2005 Batavia NYPL 18 Phi A- 15.1 29 8 5 12 .063 .840 .127 13.50
2005 Lakewood SAL 18 Phi A 62.2 78 11 28 46 .095 .827 .050 7.04
2006 Lakewood SAL 19 Phi A 159.1 103 6 65 159 .101 .726 .014 2.26
he pitched in the sally league at the age of 18. why wasn't this guy on the list last year? carlos carrasco is young and had good results last year. the future is bright.
Career Pitching Statistics for Kyle Drabek:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2006 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 23.1 33 2 11 14 .096 .864 .022 7.71
there are questions about kyle drabek's makeup. i don't know what they are but i think he'll make it. here's his wikipedia page.
Career Batting Statistics for Adrian Cardenas:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2006 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 158 19 28 2 9 .107 .823 .085 .318
adrian cardenas is a lefty-hitting middle-infielder with good pitch selection and contact skills. that's a strong combination.
Career Pitching Statistics for Edgar Garcia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 GCL Phils GCL 17 Phi Rk 55.2 63 4 13 42 .053 .817 .021 3.56
2006 Batavia NYPL 18 Phi A- 66.1 62 5 10 46 .037 .824 .023 2.98
edgar garcia has very good control, and has already pitched in low-a at the age of 18. those are good things.
Career Pitching Statistics for Scott Mathieson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 16.2 24 0 6 14 .075 .811 .000 5.40
2003 GCL Phils GCL 19 Phi Rk 58.2 59 5 13 51 .052 .783 .027 5.52
2003 Batavia NYPL 19 Phi A- 6.0 0 0 0 7 .000 .611 .000 0.00
2004 Lakewood SAL 20 Phi A 131.1 130 7 50 112 .087 .786 .017 4.32
2005 Clearwater FSL 21 Phi A+ 121.2 111 17 34 118 .067 .752 .047 4.14
2006 Reading East 22 Phi AA 92.2 73 8 29 99 .076 .718 .032 3.21
2006 Scrwb IL 22 Phi AAA 34.1 26 2 10 36 .072 .721 .022 3.93
2006 Philadelph MLB 22 Phi MLB 37.1 48 8 16 28 .091 .825 .061 7.47
scott mathieson had tommy john surgery, so you can't really put him on the prospect list. at least you can't put him this high. before he got injured, he showed good control, decent contact percentages, and decent home run limitation at a young age, so you certainly can't rule out a major-league career.
Career Pitching Statistics for Joshua Outman:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 Batavia NYPL 20 Phi A- 29.1 23 1 14 31 .112 .721 .013 2.76
2006 Lakewood SAL 21 Phi A 155.1 119 5 75 161 .114 .725 .012 2.95
you gotta love a pitcher named outman. josh is a lefty with strikeouts and mojo. we'd like to see more control.
Career Batting Statistics for Michael Bourn:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 Houston NCAA 18 NCA 219 50 57 0 6 .186 .740 .037 .303
2002 Houston NCAA 19 NCA 244 52 45 1 9 .176 .816 .050 .328
2003 Houston NCAA 20 NCA 182 25 37 1 6 .121 .797 .048 .330
2003 Batavia NYPL 20 Phi A- 125 26 28 0 1 .172 .776 .010 .280
2004 Lakewood SAL 21 Phi A 417 87 88 5 34 .173 .789 .119 .317
2005 Reading East 22 Phi AA 544 66 123 6 26 .108 .774 .076 .268
2006 Reading East 23 Phi AA 319 38 67 4 11 .106 .790 .060 .274
2006 Scrwb IL 23 Phi AAA 153 21 33 1 12 .121 .784 .108 .283
2006 Philadelph MLB 23 Phi MLB 8 1 3 0 0 .111 .625 .000 .125
the bourn report! the bourn supremacy! the bourn ain't gonna make it.
Career Pitching Statistics for James Happ:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 Northwstrn NCAA 19 NCA 51.0 46 2 24 51 .108 .744 .014 2.12
2003 Northwstrn NCAA 20 NCA 83.0 85 4 33 94 .090 .719 .017 3.58
2004 Northwstrn NCAA 21 NCA 94.0 80 6 33 106 .084 .707 .023 2.68
2004 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A- 35.2 22 1 18 37 .122 .713 .011 2.02
2005 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 72.1 57 3 26 70 .087 .745 .015 2.36
2005 Reading East 22 Phi AA 6.0 3 0 2 8 .087 .619 .000 1.50
2006 Clearwater FSL 23 Phi A+ 80.0 63 9 19 77 .059 .746 .040 2.81
2006 Reading East 23 Phi AA 74.2 58 2 29 81 .093 .713 .010 2.65
2006 Scrwb IL 23 Phi AAA 6.0 3 1 1 4 .045 .810 .059 1.50
j.a. happ is a lefty with decent strike zone skills, and mojo. he's gonna make it.
Career Pitching Statistics for Matt Maloney:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 Mississipp NCAA 20 NCA 48.1 62 3 6 42 .028 .797 .018 4.66
2005 Mississipp NCAA 21 NCA 104.1 94 10 26 111 .060 .727 .034 3.11
2005 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A- 37.0 38 2 15 36 .091 .758 .018 3.89
2006 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 168.2 120 5 73 180 .104 .712 .011 2.03
matt maloney is the same thing as j.a. happ. he's going to make it.
Career Batting Statistics for Greg Golson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2004 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 185 15 54 1 13 .075 .708 .107 .295
2005 Lakewood SAL 19 Phi A 375 32 106 4 27 .079 .717 .115 .264
2006 Lakewood SAL 20 Phi A 390 21 107 7 19 .051 .726 .092 .220
2006 Clearwater FSL 20 Phi A+ 159 14 53 6 13 .081 .667 .179 .264
greg golson is not going to make it.
kevin goldstein has d'arby myers instead of edgar garcia. his sleeper prospect is jesus sanchez.
Career Batting Statistics for D'Arby Myers:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2006 GCL Phils GCL 17 Phi Rk 128 8 32 2 8 .059 .750 .104 .313
d'arby myers is a young centerfielder. he has talent but lacks discipline.
Career Batting Statistics for Jesus Sanchez:
2006 GCL Yanks GCL 18 Nyy Rk 93 11 19 0 5 .106 .796 .068 .269
2006 GCL Phils GCL 18 Phi Rk 27 2 8 0 2 .069 .704 .105 .192
his baseball cube statistics got glommed onto the page of jesus sanchez the pitcher. next year he'll probably have his own page. this kid is young and has good hitting skills. i think i'm the only person who thinks the bobby abreu trade was a good trade for the phils.
the rest of the kids in the trade were matt smith, c.j. henry, and carlos monasterios.
Career Pitching Statistics for Matt Smith:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2000 Staten Isl NYPL 21 Nyy A- 75.2 74 1 20 59 .062 .804 .004 2.38
2001 Kannapolis SAL 22 Chw A 27.0 26 0 26 14 .195 .869 .000 5.00
2001 Greensboro SAL 22 Nyy A 97.1 69 1 32 116 .081 .679 .004 2.59
2001 Tampa FSL 22 Nyy A+ 68.1 54 2 22 71 .078 .726 .011 2.24
2002 Tampa FSL 23 Nyy A+ 27.1 37 1 17 20 .125 .832 .010 6.59
2002 Norwich East 23 Nyy AA 89.1 112 8 37 70 .089 .816 .026 5.44
2003 Tampa FSL 24 Nyy A+ 32.1 20 0 12 25 .093 .786 .000 2.23
2003 Trenton East 24 Nyy AA 50.2 57 6 24 36 .103 .828 .035 4.26
2004 Trenton East 25 Nyy AA 61.2 67 5 31 56 .110 .778 .026 4.96
2005 Trenton East 26 Nyy AA 54.2 46 2 23 59 .099 .719 .013 2.80
2005 Columbus IL 26 Nyy AAA 27.2 24 3 13 33 .108 .692 .041 2.60
2006 Clearwater FSL 27 Phi A+ 2.0 0 0 0 6 .000 .000 .000 0.00
2006 Scrwb IL 27 Phi AAA 9.0 5 1 6 6 .158 .813 .038 2.00
2006 Columbus IL 27 Nyy AAA 26.0 27 3 8 22 .071 .790 .036 2.08
2006 Philadelph MLB 27 Phi MLB 8.2 3 0 4 12 .121 .586 .000 2.08
2006 NY Yankees MLB 27 Nyy MLB 12.0 4 0 8 9 .167 .775 .000 0.00
that's a lot of data. matt smith could be a lefty in the bullpen.
Career Batting Statistics for C.J. Henry:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2005 GCL Yanks GCL 19 Nyy Rk 181 23 39 3 12 .113 .785 .106 .249
2006 Charlstsc SAL 20 Nyy A 277 38 86 2 22 .121 .690 .126 .240
2006 Lakewood SAL 20 Phi A 91 8 25 1 7 .081 .725 .121 .253
c.j. henry will have to improve his contact to make it.
Career Pitching Statistics for Carlos Monasterios:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2006 GCL Yanks GCL 20 Nyy Rk 30.1 23 2 3 24 .026 .789 .022 2.97
2006 GCL Phils GCL 20 Phi Rk 14.2 18 1 3 11 .046 .823 .020 3.68
carlos monasterios has good control.
i also want to talk about mike costanzo, carlos ruiz, and jason jaramillo.
Career Batting Statistics for Mike Costanzo:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Coastal Ca NCAA 19 NCA 174 16 43 8 9 .084 .753 .130 .318
2004 Coastal Ca NCAA 20 NCA 231 53 52 21 23 .187 .775 .246 .359
2005 Coastal Ca NCAA 21 NCA 240 74 65 16 17 .236 .729 .189 .379
2005 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A- 285 38 89 11 20 .118 .688 .158 .274
2006 Clearwater FSL 22 Phi A+ 506 85 133 14 34 .144 .737 .129 .258
mike costanzo is a lefty-hitting third baseman. he has good patience and good power but bad contact. his contact did improve a lot last year. it will have to continue to improve.
Career Batting Statistics for Carlos Ruiz:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1999 Dom Phils Dsl 19 Phi Rk 226 9 11 4 20 .038 .951 .112 .305
2000 GCL Phils GCL 20 Phi Rk 132 11 9 1 8 .077 .932 .073 .277
2001 Lakewood SAL 21 Phi A 251 11 27 4 17 .042 .892 .094 .261
2002 Clearwater FSL 22 Phi A+ 343 24 30 5 21 .065 .913 .083 .213
2003 Clearwater FSL 23 Phi A+ 54 2 5 2 0 .036 .907 .041 .315
2003 Reading East 23 Phi AA 172 15 15 2 6 .080 .913 .051 .266
2004 Reading East 24 Phi AA 352 30 37 17 17 .079 .895 .108 .284
2005 Scrwb IL 25 Phi AAA 354 33 48 4 34 .085 .864 .124 .300
2006 Scrwb IL 26 Phi AAA 371 51 56 16 25 .121 .849 .130 .307
2006 Philadelph MLB 26 Phi MLB 70 6 8 3 2 .079 .886 .081 .261
carlos ruiz had an excellent year last year. he showed very good patience, good contact, and good power in 371 at-bats in triple-a. the phillies' catcher situation is well-stocked.
Career Batting Statistics for Jason Jaramillo:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 Okla St NCAA 19 NCA 107 11 13 3 9 .093 .879 .128 .327
2003 Okla St NCAA 20 NCA 219 22 25 9 19 .091 .886 .144 .385
2004 Okla St NCAA 21 NCA 241 37 23 8 12 .133 .905 .092 .350
2004 GCL Phils GCL 21 Phi Rk 3 0 0 0 0 .000 1.00 .000 .667
2004 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A- 114 13 27 1 5 .102 .763 .069 .223
2005 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 449 46 72 8 32 .093 .840 .106 .304
2006 Reading East 23 Phi AA 327 36 55 6 26 .099 .832 .118 .248
2006 Scrwb IL 23 Phi AAA 7 0 1 0 0 .000 .857 .000 .167
jason jaramillo is another good-looking catcher who made strong improvements last year. he was underrated last year, and he wasn't even on the list this year, but he completely skipped high-a and showed contact and power in double-a. people pay too much attention to batting average. with barajas, ruiz, jaramillo, and sanchez, the phillies are looking good in the catcher department. they also got that guy ryan budde.
so i don't know. ed wade ran this team into the ground, but it looks like pat gillick is doing the right things. with the strong futures of the braves, mets, phillies, and marlins, the national league east will be exciting for years to come.
a good site for phillies prospects is phuturephillies.com. that's where i found dan brauer.
Career Pitching Statistics for Dan Brauer:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 Northwstrn NCAA 19 NCA 54.0 50 0 32 44 .131 .792 .000 3.50
2004 Northwstrn NCAA 20 NCA 89.1 80 5 26 96 .070 .724 .020 3.02
2006 Northwstrn NCAA 22 NCA 92.2 88 8 45 90 .109 .754 .029 3.30
2006 Batavia NYPL 22 Phi A- 55.0 39 1 18 65 .081 .681 .007 1.96
2006 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 8.0 10 1 5 10 .128 .706 .042 4.50
brauer gets included because he struck out 65 in 55 innings last year at batavia. he's a lefty.
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