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Monday, August 07, 2006
i've gotten some responses to my tigers article recently so i thought i'd revisit. one of the responses was from a fan who's happy about the team's success and wanted to use the opportunity to spread a little hate. not much to do with that. the other response was short and said i was wrong on 8 of 10. that's at least something i can work with.
so how are those tigers doing?
justin verlander was the number 1 guy on the list. i said he was good. i guess that's one of the 2 i got right.
joel zumaya was number 2. i said he strikes people out by the boatload. i'm 2 out of 2 so far.
the next guy was cameron maybin. i didn't say anything about him because i didn't have any data. so i'm still 2-for-2. but we do have data now. what can we say?
at this writing cameron is at 283 at-bats, with 17 doubles, 5 triples, 6 home runs, 40 walks, and 90 strikeouts. he also has 25 stolen bases in 28 attempts.
he's obviously very fast. and he has some power. if this is his first taste of pro ball, it's very impressive. strikeouts are high, but that's common for a young player. i'd say he has a bright future.
next we have brent clevlen. brent recently had his major-league debut, and had an exciting two home run game against the devil rays. at the time i wrote the article, i said he had good patience, mediocre contact, and mild power. i still think he has good patience, mediocre contact, and mild power. i also said he has a long way to go. i still think he has a long way to go. the fact that he's a center fielder greatly helps his prospect status. so that's good. but for what i said, i was right. does anyone care?
before he got called up, brent was playing in erie. he had 26 extra-base hits and 128 strikeouts in 366 at-bats, with 43 walks. he turns 23 in october. he's a mild prospect.
next we have wilkin ramirez. i said he had terrible patience, and terrible contact. he does have terrible contact, but a lot of his strikeouts come from swinging too much. i've recently revised my ideas about that.
in 249 at-bats, he has 22 extra-base hits, 10 walks, and 69 strikeouts. he's got a long way to go.
humberto sanchez. i said he was decent, but not great. he's got 43 strikeouts and 20 walks in 51 innings in AAA. that's decent, but not great.
jordan tata. i said he's not very good. in 92 innings, he had 39 walks and 72 strikeouts. that's not very good.
tony giarratano. good name. bad prospect, according to me. this year he's got 24 extra-base hits, 22 walks, and 45 strikeouts in 269 at-bats. the problem is none of those extra-base hits are home runs. it doesn't look like he'll be anything more than a utility player.
2 more. jeff larish. i was getting a little silly by this time, but apparently i didn't think he was good. he's currently got 46 extra-base hits, 66 walks, and 84 strikeouts in 384 at-bats in single-a. that's not very good. it'd be good if he was 20, but he turns 24 in october. this is his first full year in pro ball, so there's an outside chance he'll make it. the problem is the contact.
finally, we have kevin whelan. holy shit, he's from kerrville, texas! i once broke down in kerrville and spent a few days there. there's a nice park, and a library. kevin has good stuff but he's wild.
so that's it. turns out everything i said was right. there's a lot i don't know, because i'm not a scout, but it's amazing what you can tell from the numbers.
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