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Wednesday, April 26, 2006
ty wigginton
ty wigginton has 8 home runs in 70 at-bats. should we be surprised?
Career Batting Statistics for Ty Wigginton:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1998 Pittsfield NYPL 20 Nym A- 272 16 72 8 18 .056 .735 .130 .239
1999 St. Lucie FSL 21 Nym A+ 456 56 82 21 28 .109 .820 .131 .292
2000 Binghamton East 22 Nym AA 460 26 107 20 30 .053 .767 .142 .285
2001 St. Lucie FSL 23 Nym A+ 9 4 2 0 1 .308 .778 .143 .333
2001 Binghamton East 23 Nym AA 28 5 5 0 3 .152 .821 .130 .286
2001 Norfolk IL 23 Nym AAA 262 27 66 7 12 .093 .748 .097 .250
2002 Norfolk IL 24 Nym AAA 391 44 50 6 29 .101 .872 .103 .300
2002 New York Met MLB 24 Nym MLB 117 10 19 6 8 .079 .838 .143 .302
2003 New York Met MLB 25 Nym MLB 577 55 124 11 42 .087 .785 .117 .255
2004 St. Lucie FSL 26 Nym A+ 8 0 1 0 0 .000 .875 .000 .375
2004 New York Met MLB 26 Nym MLB 314 24 48 12 25 .071 .847 .139 .285
2004 Pittsburgh P MLB 26 Pit MLB 183 23 34 5 7 .112 .814 .081 .220
2005 Indianapolis IL 27 Pit AAA 282 46 56 14 18 .140 .801 .142 .293
2005 Pittsburgh P MLB 27 Pit MLB 155 15 30 7 10 .088 .806 .136 .258
no, we shouldn't.
let's go through his career. wigginton came out of college and and went immediately to low-a. he struggled there but hit for power.
the next year he skipped middle-a and went directly to high-a. he was 21, which is a good age for that level, and he crushed the ball. 21 home runs and 28 doubles and triples in 456 at-bats. his wal was good, his con was good, his pow was very good. at this point, he's lookin like a prospect.
then he goes to double-a and swings too much and strikes out a lot. but he still hits for power. this is common for prospects. they move up and they struggle. then they get it together and move up and struggle. except wigginton got injured.
or that's what it looks like. he only played half a season and he had a rehab stint in high-a. despite that, wigginton was moved up to triple-a. he struck out a lot and didn't hit for power.
at this point ty wigginton is not on any prospect lists. his batting averages are .286 and .250 in the past two years and his strikeout-to-walk rate is 3-1. that's bad, but what the prospect poachers didn't realize is he moved up too fast and did ok, then got hurt, moved up again, and did ok.
when we see these numbers for a 25-year-old we cross him off the list. but when we see these numbers for a 23-year-old who moved up too fast and got injured, we do not cross him off the list. we keep him on the list.
the next year he completely turned it around and made the mets, where he hit for contact and power.
in 2003, the mets make him their starting third baseman. who's ty wigginton? everybody says. he hits .255 and nobody says anything. but he had 42 doubles and triples. and 11 home runs. more importantly, he's playing in the majors and he holds it down. he does not get replaced. most players have trouble their rookie season. ty wigginton did not. he's 25, and he's a major leaguer.
in 2004, he starts with the mets and he hits for contact and power. but the mets have david wright so they jerk him around. first they play him at second, then they trade him to the pirates.
the pirates don't give him regular playing time and he bats .220 for them in a limited sample size. at this point, nobody thinks ty wigginton is good. he's not even starting, and the numbers he's putting up do not look good by any kind of traditional analysis, viz. avg, obp, slg.
etc.
so where are we? in 2005 ty goes to triple-a and kills it. then he gets some time in the majors and hits for power. begin 2006. the devil rays get him for nothing.
the pirates didn't realize ty could play. now, instead of a good young hitter in his prime, they have joe randa. randa's a decent player, but he's no ty wigginton. and he's more expensive.
i'm not gonna say ty wigginton is the best in the world or anything. but i will say he's better than people think. if there's still time to get him in your fantasy league, do it.
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