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Sunday, February 19, 2006
top prospects: red sox
the orioles prospects looked pretty bad. what about the red sox?
1. Andy Marte, 3b
2. Jon Lester, lhp
3. Jonathan Papelbon, rhp
4. Craig Hansen, rhp
5. Dustin Pedroia, 2b/ss
6. Jacoby Ellsbury, of
7. Kelly Shoppach, c
8. Manny Delcarmen, rhp
9. Jed Lowrie, ss/2b
10. Clay Buchholz, rhp
the system was better when marte was still around, but this is a top-quality organization. one of the best in the league.
Career Batting Statistics for Andy Marte:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 Danville App 17 Atl Rk 125 20 45 1 6 .138 .640 .088 .200
2002 Macon SAL 18 Atl A 495 47 114 21 36 .087 .770 .150 .281
2003 Myrtle Beach Caro 19 Atl A 472 69 109 16 36 .128 .769 .143 .285
2004 GCL Braves GCL 20 Atl Rk 15 2 2 1 4 .118 .867 .385 .467
2004 Greenville Sou 20 Atl AA 390 60 105 23 29 .133 .731 .182 .269
2005 Richmond IL 21 Atl AAA 389 64 83 20 28 .141 .787 .157 .275
2005 Atlanta Brav NL 21 Atl MLB 59 7 13 0 3 .106 .780 .065 .140
we talked about andy marte when he was the braves' top prospect. well, he wasn't the braves top prospect because he had been traded, but he was on baseball america's list because they made the list before he got traded. confused yet?
marte is a crusher. he had 48 extra-base hits in 389 at-bats in triple-a at the age of 21. he's gonna make it. he also walked a bunch.
marte is no longer a red sox prospect. he got traded to the indians.
Career Pitching Statistics for Jon Lester:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Red Sox GCL 18 Bos Rk 0.2 5 0 1 1 .125 .857 .000 13.50
2003 Augusta SAL 19 Bos A 106.0 102 7 44 71 .095 .831 .020 3.65
2004 GCL Red Sox GCL 20 Bos Rk 1.0 0 0 2 1 .400 .667 .000 0.00
2004 Sarasota FSL 20 Bos A 90.1 82 2 37 97 .095 .725 .008 4.28
2005 Portland East 21 Bos AA 148.1 114 10 57 163 .093 .708 .025 2.61
jon lester sure tore up the eastern league. the year before that, he tore up the florida state league. the year before that, he was unimpressive in the sally league.
except it was apparently his first real pro experience. he probly did something somewhere. regardless, he was 19 and he pitched in middle-a. and he was not terrible.
combine the youth, the strikeouts, and the home run control, and you have a high-quality prospect. also he's a lefty.
Career Pitching Statistics for Jon Papelbon:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 Mississippi NCAA 22 0 NCA 47.1 41 3 14 54 .071 .705 .023 2.28
2003 Mississippi NCAA 22 0 NCA 47.1 41 3 14 54 .071 .705 .023 2.28
2003 Lowell NYPL 22 Bos A 32.2 43 2 9 36 .060 .745 .019 6.34
2004 Sarasota FSL 23 Bos A 129.2 97 6 43 153 .081 .685 .018 2.64
2005 Portland East 24 Bos AA 87.0 59 9 23 83 .067 .741 .038 2.48
2005 Pawtucket IL 24 Bos AAA 27.2 21 2 3 27 .028 .740 .026 2.93
2005 Boston Red S AL 24 Bos MLB 34.0 33 4 17 34 .112 .748 .040 2.65
papelbon made the majors last year and pitched well. he has good control, good strikeouts, and good home run limitation. he's good.
Career Pitching Statistics for Craig Hansen:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 St. Johns U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 64.1 38 1 20 85 .080 .632 .007 1.68
2005 Boston Red S AL 0 Bos MLB 3.0 6 1 1 3 .063 .800 .083 6.00
we don't have much to go on, numbers-wise, but this guy is apparently out of sight. the college numbers support that conclusion: a .632 con and .007 home run percentage is very very good. he's gonna make it.
Career Batting Statistics for Dustin Pedroia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 Arizona Stat NCAA 19 0 NCA 237 29 19 1 15 .109 .920 .073 .347
2003 Arizona Stat NCAA 20 0 NCA 301 42 13 4 37 .122 .957 .142 .404
2004 Arizona Stat NCAA 21 0 NCA 246 55 15 9 25 .183 .939 .147 .393
2004 Sarasota FSL 21 Bos A 110 17 4 2 11 .134 .964 .123 .336
2004 Augusta SAL 21 Bos A 50 7 3 1 5 .123 .940 .128 .400
2005 Portland East 22 Bos AA 258 38 26 8 21 .128 .899 .125 .324
2005 Pawtucket IL 22 Bos AAA 206 33 17 5 10 .138 .917 .079 .255
i'm very high on dustin pedroia. his contact rates are incredible, as is his patience. and his power looks like it will develop. also his defense is reportedly top-quality. i believe he's ready for the majors now. i also believe the red sox agree, and that's why they traded edgar renteria.
Career Batting Statistics for Jacoby Ellsbury:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Oregon State NCAA 0 0 NCA 209 37 33 7 13 .150 .842 .114 .330
2004 Oregon State NCAA 0 0 NCA 196 41 17 3 10 .173 .913 .073 .352
2005 Oregon State NCAA 0 0 NCA 245 44 21 6 22 .152 .914 .125 .406
2005 Lowell NYPL 0 Bos A 140 25 20 1 8 .152 .857 .075 .317
another 2005 draft pick, jacoby ellsbury has lots of talent. his on-base skills are impeccable. and he steals lots of bases. the combination of patience, contact, and speed make him an ideal leadoff hitter.
ellsbury could make the bigs in a hurry.
Career Batting Statistics for Kelly Shoppach:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2000 Baylor U. NCAA 20 0 NCA 201 52 50 10 15 .206 .751 .166 .296
2001 Baylor U. NCAA 21 0 NCA 237 31 52 12 22 .116 .781 .184 .397
2002 Sarasota FSL 22 Bos A 415 65 112 10 36 .135 .730 .152 .271
2003 Portland East 23 Bos AA 345 40 83 12 32 .104 .759 .168 .282
2004 Pawtucket IL 24 Bos AAA 401 52 138 22 25 .115 .656 .179 .233
2005 Pawtucket IL 25 Bos AAA 374 58 116 26 16 .134 .690 .163 .253
2005 Boston Red S AL 25 Bos MLB 15 1 7 0 0 .063 .533 .000 .000
i don't understand why people talk about kelly shoppach. i guess it's because he's a catcher with power. but he can't make contact. he'll never hit in the bigs.
Career Pitching Statistics for Manny Delcarmen:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2001 GCL Red Sox GCL 19 Bos Rk 46.0 35 0 19 62 .099 .642 .000 2.54
2002 Augusta SAL 20 Bos A 136.0 124 15 56 136 .095 .744 .038 4.10
2003 Sarasota FSL 21 Bos A 23.0 16 1 7 16 .076 .812 .014 3.13
2004 Sarasota FSL 22 Bos A 73.0 84 10 20 76 .062 .749 .044 4.68
2005 Portland East 23 Bos AA 39.0 31 3 20 49 .119 .669 .030 3.23
2005 Pawtucket IL 23 Bos AAA 21.0 17 0 13 23 .140 .713 .000 1.29
2005 Boston Red S AL 23 Bos MLB 9.0 8 0 7 9 .167 .743 .000 3.00
delcarmen throws a curveball, which gives him the potential to really limit home runs. also he's got some strikeouts. control seems to be an issue though.
Career Batting Statistics for Jed Lowrie:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Stanford U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 215 21 25 0 12 .089 .884 .063 .292
2004 Stanford U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 238 55 40 17 23 .188 .832 .202 .399
2005 Stanford U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 234 45 41 14 18 .161 .825 .166 .317
2005 Lowell NYPL 0 Bos A 202 36 30 4 12 .151 .851 .093 .328
the red sox 2005 draft was obviously incredible. this lowrie kid beat the crap out of stanford. look at those wals and those pows. also, in a-ball, he seemed to get his contact together. he's a middle infielder. the future is bright.
Career Pitching Statistics for Clay Buchholz:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 Lowell NYPL 0 Bos A 41.1 34 2 9 45 .054 .715 .018 2.61
so far, so good. control, strikeouts, and power reduction all look strong.
that's it for the list. this is a very strong system. beyond what we've seen here, there's depth at middle-infield, and pitching. if you could choose two places to have depth, those would be your choices.
the strength of the system is such that it will provide immediate help at the major league level, both in replacement-level backups, should someone go down, and in potential breakout seasons. also there are long-term prospects who should have impact in the future. so 2006 is looking good. as is 2007. and 2008. the red sox and the blue jays are the class of the east.
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