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Sunday, January 29, 2006
 
top prospects: reds
this is it. the most terrible farm system in baseball. i admit, i haven't analyzed them all, but it's hard to imagine anything worse than the reds. they have no prospects. that's as bad as it gets.


1. Homer Bailey, rhp
2. Jay Bruce, of
3. Travis Wood, lhp
4. B.J. Szymanski, of
5. Chris Denorfia, of
6. Rafael Gonzalez, rhp
7. Miguel Perez, c
8. Tyler Pelland, lhp
9. Joey Votto, 1b
10. Travis Chick, rhp


let's make this quick.


Career Pitching Statistics for Homer Bailey:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 GCL Reds GCL 18 Cin Rk 12.1 14 0 3 9 .056 .824 .000 4.38
2005 Dayton Midw 19 Cin A 103.2 89 5 62 125 .134 .688 .018 4.43


he's got a fastball and a curveball. great. call me when he learns to throw strikes.


Career Batting Statistics for Jay Bruce:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2005 Billings Pio 18 Cin Rk 70 11 22 4 2 .136 .686 .125 .257
2005 GCL Reds GCL 18 Cin Rk 124 12 31 5 11 .088 .750 .172 .270


jay bruce is the best hitting prospect. he can't make contact. maybe he will. he's 18.


Career Pitching Statistics for Travis Wood:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 Billings Pio 18 Cin Rk 24.2 15 0 13 22 .127 .753 .000 1.82
2005 GCL Reds GCL 18 Cin Rk 24.0 13 0 7 45 .076 .471 .000 0.75


when the top prospects are all 18, it means they don't have anybody.

that .471 con is pretty cool though.


Career Batting Statistics for B.J. Szymanski:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Princeton U. NCAA 20 0 NCA 158 9 28 2 14 .054 .823 .123 .329
2004 Princeton U. NCAA 21 0 NCA 179 24 26 6 18 .118 .855 .157 .362
2004 Billings Pio 21 Cin Rk 82 9 26 3 6 .099 .683 .161 .259
2005 Dayton Midw 22 Cin A 193 21 57 10 9 .098 .705 .140 .262


b.j. is 22, and a long way away.


Career Batting Statistics for Chris Denorfia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 GCL Reds GCL 22 Cin Rk 202 31 23 0 11 .133 .886 .061 .340
2002 Dayton Midw 22 Cin A 10 0 3 0 0 .000 .700 .000 .000
2002 Chattanooga Sou 22 Cin AA 7 2 1 0 3 .222 .857 .500 .429
2003 Potomac Caro 23 Cin A 473 57 106 4 15 .108 .776 .052 .236
2004 Potomac Caro 24 Cin A 271 49 66 11 22 .153 .756 .161 .312
2004 Chattanooga Sou 24 Cin AA 222 31 42 6 12 .123 .811 .100 .249
2005 Chattanooga Sou 25 Cin AA 188 19 38 7 20 .092 .798 .180 .330
2005 Louisville IL 25 Cin AAA 326 45 54 13 18 .121 .834 .114 .310
2005 Cincinnati R NL 25 Cin MLB 38 6 9 1 3 .136 .763 .138 .263


chris is old now. he's reached the thresholds of breakout, but he probably doesn't have enough improvement left in him to pass those thresholds.


Career Pitching Statistics for Rafael Gonzalez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 GCL Reds GCL 18 Cin Rk 40.2 38 3 18 32 .101 .800 .023 4.20
2005 Billings Pio 19 Cin Rk 42.0 36 7 23 37 .124 .772 .056 3.43
2005 Dayton Midw 19 Cin A 26.0 24 5 24 22 .190 .784 .063 9.35


i don't know why this guy's on the list. the contact is pedestrian, and the walks and home runs are terrible.


Career Batting Statistics for Miguel Perez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 Cagua VSL 18 Cin Rk 163 12 33 0 4 .069 .798 .031 .331
2002 GCL Reds GCL 19 Cin Rk 86 5 9 0 1 .055 .895 .013 .360
2003 Billings Pio 20 Cin Rk 228 28 27 1 13 .109 .882 .070 .339
2003 Dayton Midw 20 Cin A 58 8 19 0 0 .121 .672 .000 .172
2004 Potomac Caro 21 Cin A 70 1 12 0 2 .014 .829 .034 .232
2004 Dayton Midw 21 Cin A 251 27 62 1 7 .097 .753 .042 .237
2005 Sarasota FSL 22 Cin A 294 17 63 4 11 .055 .786 .065 .268
2005 Louisville IL 22 Cin AAA 73 7 19 1 3 .088 .740 .074 .208
2005 Cincinnati R NL 22 Cin MLB 3 0 1 0 0 .000 .667 .000 .000


miguel's a prospect for his defense, but his hitting is so terrible he'll never get close to the big leagues. it feels bad to say things like this. he obviously works hard for his dream. and he's a catcher, so he takes some knocks. but i'm a talent evaluator. i gotta evaluate the talent.


Career Pitching Statistics for Tyler Pelland:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 GCL Red Sox GCL 19 Bos Rk 39.0 26 0 18 34 .112 .762 .000 1.62
2003 GCL Reds GCL 19 Cin Rk 2.2 3 0 0 1 .000 .909 .000 0.00
2004 Billings Pio 20 Cin Rk 73.2 67 3 39 82 .119 .715 .015 3.42
2004 Dayton Midw 20 Cin A 44.2 66 6 20 38 .091 .810 .037 8.66
2005 Sarasota FSL 21 Cin A 102.1 103 5 63 103 .133 .749 .016 4.05


decent contact rates, bad walk rates.


Career Batting Statistics for Joey Votto:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 GCL Reds GCL 19 Cin Rk 180 22 45 9 16 .109 .750 .185 .269
2003 Billings Pio 20 Cin Rk 241 60 80 6 20 .199 .668 .161 .317
2003 Dayton Midw 20 Cin A 197 36 64 1 8 .155 .675 .068 .231
2004 Potomac Caro 21 Cin A 84 12 21 5 7 .125 .750 .190 .298
2004 Dayton Midw 21 Cin A 393 80 110 14 28 .169 .720 .148 .302
2005 Sarasota FSL 22 Cin A 473 55 122 17 25 .104 .742 .120 .256


ugh. old for high-a and can't make contact.


Career Pitching Statistics for Travis Chick:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 45.2 40 1 19 39 .097 .780 .007 2.76
2003 Jamestown NYPL 19 Fla A 52.0 63 3 26 48 .106 .781 .018 5.71
2004 Fort Wayne Midw 20 Sd A 42.1 32 4 9 55 .054 .654 .038 2.13
2004 Greensboro SAL 20 Fla A 91.1 79 11 27 112 .071 .683 .046 4.04
2005 Chattanooga Sou 21 Cin AA 46.1 47 5 27 21 .127 .887 .030 4.86
2005 Mobile Sou 21 Sd AA 97.1 107 12 40 92 .091 .769 .039 5.27


travis had great numbers in a-ball in 2004. i don't know what happened.

ok. it's over. i'm sorry you had to see that.
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