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Saturday, January 14, 2006
top prospects: phillies
you thought the mets were bad. check out the phillies:
1. Cole Hamels, lhp
2. Greg Golson, of
3. Michael Bourn, of
4. Scott Mathieson, rhp
5. Welinson Baez, ss/3b
6. Mike Costanzo, 3b
7. Brad Harman, ss/2b
8. Tim Moss, 2b
9. Jason Jaramillo, c
10. Edgar Garcia, rhp
that guy with the "1" next to his name. that's because he's the 1 prospect they got. and he's got injury issues. in 2004 he had a stress reaction in his lower back, whatever that is.
Career Pitching Statistics for Cole Hamels:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 Lakewood SAL 19 Phi A 74.2 32 0 25 115 .089 .551 .000 0.84
2003 Clearwater FSL 19 Phi A 26.1 29 0 14 32 .115 .704 .000 2.73
2004 Clearwater FSL 20 Phi A 16.0 10 0 4 24 .065 .586 .000 1.12
2005 Clearwater FSL 21 Phi A 16.0 7 0 7 18 .113 .673 .000 2.25
2005 Reading East 21 Phi AA 19.0 10 2 12 19 .152 .716 .042 2.37
cole hamels was a killer in 03. look at that. 115 strikeouts in 74 innings. 25 walks. 32 hits! i made him my number 5 prospect. then he got hurt.
he had good cons in 2005, but the injury flared up again. i hope he stays healthy. it would be a shame not to see his talent in the majors.
greg golson is the best athlete in the system. but he swings too much, and he can't hit what he swings at.
Career Batting Statistics for Greg Golson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2004 GCL Phillies GCL 18 Phi Rk 185 15 54 1 13 .075 .708 .107 .295
2005 Lakewood SAL 19 Phi A 375 26 106 4 27 .065 .717 .115 .264
also, he doesn't have any power.
michael bourn has the best strikezone judgement, and is the fastest baserunner in the system. "great!" you say. "leadoff hitter!" uh-uh.
Career Batting Statistics for Michael Bourn:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 U. of Housto NCAA 18 0 NCA 219 50 57 0 6 .186 .740 .037 .303
2002 U. of Housto NCAA 19 0 NCA 244 52 45 1 9 .176 .816 .050 .328
2003 U. of Housto NCAA 20 0 NCA 182 25 37 1 6 .121 .797 .048 .330
2003 Batavia NYPL 20 Phi A 125 26 28 0 1 .172 .776 .010 .280
2004 Lakewood SAL 21 Phi A 417 87 88 5 34 .173 .789 .119 .317
2005 Reading East 22 Phi AA 544 63 123 6 26 .104 .774 .076 .268
he's left-handed. if he made contact, he could slap-and-run. but it doesn't look like he'll develop contact. if he had power, he could get on base by hitting it hard. to go with the walks. but he doesn't have power. he's fast, and he plays good defense, so they'll probably try to play him in the majors. but he just ain't got the stick skills. he's willy taveras with walks. for the record, willy taveras is no good.
taveras tries to slap-and-run, but his contact isn't good enough. bourn's contact isn't nearly as good as taveras's. and neither is his speed.
Career Pitching Statistics for Scott Mathieson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Phillies GCL 18 Phi Rk 16.2 24 0 6 14 .075 .811 .000 5.40
2003 GCL Phillies GCL 19 Phi Rk 58.2 59 5 13 51 .052 .783 .027 5.52
2003 Batavia NYPL 19 Phi A 6.0 0 0 0 7 .000 .611 .000 0.00
2004 Lakewood SAL 20 Phi A 131.1 130 7 50 112 .087 .786 .017 4.32
2005 Clearwater FSL 21 Phi A 121.2 111 17 34 118 .067 .752 .047 4.14
those are decent numbers for the florida state league, but that's just it: they're decent. he doesn't have much upside. fourth-or-fifth starter.
Career Batting Statistics for Welinson Baez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 GCL Phillies GCL 19 Phi Rk 145 16 37 3 7 .099 .745 .093 .246
2004 GCL Phillies GCL 20 Phi Rk 172 22 62 4 9 .113 .640 .118 .234
2005 GCL Phillies GCL 21 Phi Rk 45 8 14 2 5 .151 .689 .226 .267
2005 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A 170 22 45 6 15 .115 .735 .168 .324
welinson baez spent two seasons in rookie ball. in the second one, he struck out 62 times in 172 at-bats. that's terrible. and he's getting old. he's not gonna make it.
Career Batting Statistics for Mike Costanzo:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Coastal Caro NCAA 0 0 NCA 174 16 43 8 9 .084 .753 .130 .318
2004 Coastal Caro NCAA 0 0 NCA 231 53 52 21 23 .187 .775 .246 .359
2005 Coastal Caro NCAA 0 0 NCA 240 74 65 16 17 .236 .729 .189 .379
2005 Batavia NYPL 0 Phi A 281 35 89 11 20 .111 .683 .161 .274
mike costanzo was the phillies top draft pick in 2005. it was a terrible choice, because he didn't make contact in college. then he went to low a-ball, and didn't make contact. he's not gonna make it.
Career Batting Statistics for Bradley Harman:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2004 GCL Phillies GCL 18 Phi Rk 185 14 41 2 10 .070 .778 .083 .230
2004 Clearwater FSL 18 Phi A 0 1 0 0 0 1.00 .000 .000 .000
2005 Lakewood SAL 19 Phi A 419 45 89 11 24 .097 .788 .106 .303
this guy could make it. he's a shortstop, and he's got balanced hitting skills. he's not great at anything, but if he continues to improve, he'll be good enough. he's the best defensive infielder in the system.
Career Batting Statistics for Tim Moss:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 U. of Texas NCAA 20 0 NCA 304 26 52 1 23 .079 .829 .095 .371
2003 U. of Texas NCAA 21 0 NCA 290 45 53 3 27 .134 .817 .127 .319
2003 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A 162 15 47 1 7 .085 .710 .070 .150
2004 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 274 36 75 2 16 .116 .726 .090 .256
2005 Clearwater FSL 23 Phi A 469 45 129 17 35 .088 .725 .153 .269
he's in high-a at the age of 23. and he can't make contact. that's not gonna do it.
Career Batting Statistics for Jason Jaramillo:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 Oklahoma Sta NCAA 19 0 NCA 107 11 13 3 9 .093 .879 .128 .327
2003 Oklahoma Sta NCAA 20 0 NCA 219 22 25 9 19 .091 .886 .144 .385
2004 Oklahoma Sta NCAA 21 0 NCA 241 37 23 8 12 .133 .905 .092 .350
2004 GCL Phillies GCL 21 Phi Rk 3 0 0 0 0 .000 1.00 .000 .667
2004 Batavia NYPL 21 Phi A 114 13 27 1 5 .102 .763 .069 .223
2005 Lakewood SAL 22 Phi A 448 44 72 8 32 .089 .839 .106 .304
jason jaramillo is a catcher, so if he can hit at all, he's a prospect. he can't.
i mean, he's at that stage where there's a lot of variance. if he starts beating it out of the park, he'll make it.
that sounds pretty equivocal. this is what i'm trying to say: his wal, con, and pow are all slightly below norms for a prospect of his age. but he could improve all of a sudden. then he'd be slightly above norms. it's all about that threshold.
Career Pitching Statistics for Edgar Garcia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 GCL Phillies GCL 0 Phi Rk 55.2 63 4 13 42 .053 .817 .021 3.56
i don't know how old he is, but he's apparently young and talented. we shall see.
so that's it. the phillies are fucked. like the mets, they have one prospect. but unlike the mets, their one prospect has injury concerns.
i shouldn't say one prospect. bradley harman and jason jaramillo both have a chance. but i'd rather have lastings milledge than cole hamels, bradley harman, and jason jaramillo.
Comments:
i feel like i was a little hard on jaramillo. looking at his college stats again, he made great contact. he could easily develop power and start killin. something about his numbers says breakout.
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