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Wednesday, January 11, 2006
top prospects: marlins
last time we did the braves. this time, it's the marlins.
1. Jeremy Hermida, of
2. Scott Olsen, lhp
3. Josh Johnson, rhp
4. Chris Volstad, rhp
5. Aaron Thompson, lhp
6. Robert Andino, ss
7. Taylor Tankersley, lhp
8. Josh Willingham, c/1b
9. Kris Harvey, 3b/of
10. Ryan Tucker, rhp
it looks like this list was made before all the trades. so we'll also talk about yusmeiro petit, mike jacobs, grant psomas, hanley ramirez, anibal sanchez, jesus delgado, harvey garcia, travis bowyer, scott tyler, gaby hernandez, reynel pinto, and ricky nolasco.
with a shout out to ben julianel.
those crazy marlins!
Career Batting Statistics for Jeremy Hermida:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 134 18 25 0 10 .118 .813 .092 .224
2002 Jamestown NYPL 18 Fla A 47 7 10 0 3 .130 .787 .081 .319
2003 Greensboro SAL 19 Fla A 474 82 100 6 28 .147 .789 .091 .284
2003 Albuquerque PCL 19 Fla AAA 3 0 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
2004 Jupiter FSL 20 Fla A 346 47 73 10 18 .120 .789 .103 .297
2005 Carolina Sou 21 Fla AA 386 111 89 18 31 .223 .769 .165 .293
2005 Florida Marl NL 21 Fla MLB 41 6 12 4 2 .128 .707 .207 .293
ok, the walk percentage is outta sight. i'm talking about 2005, in carolina. .223. with a pow of .165. this kid can play. he'll have some strikeouts, but he'll be ok.
ba has him as the top hitter for average (in the organization), with josh willingham as the best hitter for power. i don't know what they mean by "best hitter for power", exactly, but i think it's hermida. i had him as the 33rd best prospect in 2004.
Career Pitching Statistics for Scott Olsen:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 51.2 39 0 17 50 .081 .742 .000 2.96
2003 Greensboro SAL 19 Fla A 128.1 101 4 59 129 .108 .735 .011 2.81
2004 Jupiter FSL 20 Fla A 136.1 127 8 53 158 .090 .705 .021 2.97
2005 Carolina Sou 21 Fla AA 80.1 75 7 27 94 .079 .703 .032 3.92
2005 Florida Marl NL 21 Fla MLB 20.1 21 5 10 21 .109 .744 .082 3.98
scott olsen. i mentioned him in july. i said he looks strikeout-y. it's true. 2004, for example: 158 strikeouts in 136 innings. 2005: 94 strikeouts in 80 innings. in double-a. then 21 strikeouts in 20 innings in the majors. needs a little work on control, but he's got what it takes. his pitch is the slider.
Career Pitching Statistics for Josh Johnson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 15.0 8 0 3 11 .054 .792 .000 0.60
2002 Jamestown NYPL 18 Fla A 8.0 15 0 7 5 .152 .872 .000 12.38
2003 Greensboro SAL 19 Fla A 82.1 69 5 29 59 .084 .813 .019 3.61
2004 Jupiter FSL 20 Fla A 114.1 124 4 48 103 .093 .779 .011 3.46
2005 Carolina Sou 21 Fla AA 139.2 139 4 50 113 .082 .797 .009 3.87
2005 Florida Marl NL 21 Fla MLB 12.1 11 0 10 10 .172 .792 .000 3.65
josh johnson limits home runs. but his wal and his con are nothing special. if he improves his control, he could make it.
the next guy on the list is chris volstad. according to baseball america, he's got the best control in the system. this is a little funny because he was in high school last year. we have no stats on him. he either didn't play or he didn't play much. i'm sure he's talented, but i can't make any judgements without any numbers.
Career Pitching Statistics for Aaron Thompson:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 32.0 42 1 10 41 .068 .703 .010 4.50
2005 Jamestown NYPL 18 Fla A 20.1 25 1 10 17 .104 .802 .014 3.10
another 2005 draft pick, aaron thompson showed promise in rookie ball with a .703 con. then he got some work in low-a. he's a lefty.
Career Batting Statistics for Robert Andino:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2002 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 28 5 6 0 0 .152 .786 .000 .259
2002 Jamestown NYPL 18 Fla A 36 1 9 0 2 .027 .750 .074 .167
2003 Greensboro SAL 19 Fla A 421 46 128 2 19 .099 .696 .072 .188
2004 Jupiter FSL 20 Fla A 198 7 43 0 9 .034 .783 .058 .279
2004 Greensboro SAL 20 Fla A 299 19 83 8 11 .060 .722 .088 .281
2005 Carolina Sou 21 Fla AA 516 37 111 5 30 .067 .785 .086 .269
2005 Florida Marl NL 21 Fla MLB 44 5 8 0 4 .102 .818 .111 .159
robert andino is ranked this highly because of his defense. according to ba, he's the best infielder in the system. his bat is weak. he was substandard in wal, con, and pow in 2005. but he was young for his level. maybe he'll get it together.
Career Pitching Statistics for Taylor Tankersley:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 U. of Alabam NCAA 19 0 NCA 68.0 55 4 20 65 .072 .749 .021 2.65
2003 U. of Alabam NCAA 20 0 NCA 90.1 114 8 47 97 .109 .748 .028 5.88
2004 U. of Alabam NCAA 21 0 NCA 67.2 50 3 26 70 .093 .723 .016 2.00
2004 Jamestown NYPL 21 Fla A 26.2 21 2 8 32 .073 .683 .029 3.37
2005 Greensboro SAL 22 Fla A 66.0 74 12 25 63 .084 .768 .057 5.18
2005 Jupiter FSL 22 Fla A 24.0 21 1 9 19 .088 .796 .014 3.38
lefties are always exciting. taylor tankersley, though, doesn't seem to have enough of either wal, con, or pow to make it. maybe he'll do something this year.
is "either" only supposed to be used with two options? what do you do when there are three?
Career Batting Statistics for Josh Willingham:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2000 Utica NYPL 21 Fla A 207 48 55 6 16 .188 .734 .145 .263
2001 Kane County Midw 22 Fla A 324 66 85 7 22 .169 .738 .121 .259
2002 Jupiter FSL 23 Fla A 378 76 88 17 25 .167 .767 .145 .274
2003 GCL Marlins GCL 24 Fla Rk 7 1 2 1 1 .125 .714 .400 .429
2003 Jupiter FSL 24 Fla A 196 55 42 12 18 .219 .786 .195 .264
2003 Carolina Sou 24 Fla AA 67 16 20 5 3 .193 .701 .170 .299
2004 Carolina Sou 25 Fla AA 345 109 87 24 24 .240 .748 .186 .281
2004 Florida Marl NL 25 Fla MLB 25 4 8 1 0 .138 .680 .059 .200
2005 Jupiter FSL 26 Fla A 9 0 2 0 1 .000 .778 .143 .222
2005 Albuquerque PCL 26 Fla AAA 219 47 54 19 17 .177 .753 .218 .324
2005 Florida Marl NL 26 Fla MLB 23 4 5 0 1 .148 .783 .056 .304
the best hitter for power. well, he did post a .218 pow in triple-a. and the year before that a .186 pow in double-a. and the year before that a .195 pow in high-a. but i take issue with the "best hitter" part of the label. he strikes out a lot. it's questionable whether he'll succeed in the majors. he's already 26, which is normally past-peak for contact. his con in the majors should be around .700. that's already the cliff. but those walk percentages are nice. .177, .240 (!), and .219. he's a smart player. that's in his favor. maybe he'll continue to improve.
Career Batting Statistics for Kris Harvey:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 Clemson U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 31 2 4 2 1 .061 .871 .111 .276
2004 Clemson U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 210 16 31 8 16 .071 .852 .134 .335
2005 Clemson U. NCAA 0 0 NCA 247 20 44 24 11 .075 .822 .172 .339
2005 Jamestown NYPL 0 Fla A 263 9 60 9 17 .033 .772 .128 .300
i don't know how old he is, but he was probably 21 or so in 2005. kris harvey has a long way to go. he's got the best outfield arm, they say, and that's nice, but the hitting is substandard in both the wal and con departments, and only decent in pow. maybe if he stopped swinging at everything he'd get more pitches to hit.
Career Pitching Statistics for Ryan Tucker:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2005 GCL Marlins GCL 18 Fla Rk 31.2 35 0 16 23 .110 .823 .000 3.69
2005 Jamestown NYPL 18 Fla A 14.0 21 3 8 18 .113 .714 .067 8.36
the third 2005 pick in the top ten. ryan tucker had some strikeouts, but he also had some walks. he will improve as he continues to play.
ok! now let's look at some of these guys they traded for!
Career Batting Statistics for Hanley Ramirez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 Dominican Re Dsl 17 Bos Rk 197 15 22 5 20 .071 .888 .143 .345
2002 GCL Red Sox GCL 18 Bos Rk 166 18 15 6 14 .098 .910 .132 .341
2002 Lowell NYPL 18 Bos A 99 6 14 1 11 .057 .859 .141 .371
2003 Augusta SAL 19 Bos A 425 34 73 8 27 .074 .828 .099 .275
2004 GCL Red Sox GCL 20 Bos Rk 22 4 3 0 1 .154 .864 .053 .400
2004 Sarasota FSL 20 Bos A 240 21 39 1 12 .080 .838 .065 .310
2004 Portland East 20 Bos AA 129 10 26 5 9 .072 .798 .136 .310
2005 Portland East 21 Bos AA 465 39 62 6 28 .077 .867 .084 .271
2005 Boston Red S AL 21 Bos MLB 2 0 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
hanley ramirez came over in the josh beckett, mike lowell trade. by all accounts he's a slick fielder. i didn't know about him when i made my 2004 rankings, but if i had, i'd probably have put him in the 40's.
he makes great contact, so he's definitely usable, but he'll probably never hit for power. he's young, though. anything can happen.
he doesn't have to hit for power to be valuable. defense and contact-hitting, with a little more patience at the plate, is enough. and he'll steal a few bases, too.
Career Pitching Statistics for Anibal Sanchez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 Lowell NYPL 20 Bos A 76.1 43 3 29 101 .096 .629 .018 1.77
2005 Wilmington Caro 21 Bos A 78.2 53 7 24 95 .077 .671 .036 2.40
2005 Portland East 21 Bos AA 57.1 53 5 16 63 .066 .720 .031 3.45
anibal sanchez is the second guy in the red sox trade (there are two more.) he struck out 95 in 78 innings of high-a last year, then struck out 63 in 57 innings of double-a. walk rates were good. if he plays in the majors this year, it'll be rough, but he's gonna make it (barring injury).
Career Pitching Statistics for Jesus Delgado:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 GCL Red Sox GCL 20 Bos Rk 1.2 4 0 0 2 .000 .778 .000 10.80
2004 Augusta SAL 20 Bos A 58.2 61 10 26 34 .099 .857 .049 5.22
2005 Greenville SAL 21 Bos A 72.0 57 3 39 69 .125 .747 .015 3.50
jesus delgado apparently has a good fastball. he's also got control problems. not likely to make it. still young, though. definitely worth acquiring.
Career Pitching Statistics for Harvey Garcia:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 GCL Red Sox GCL 19 Bos Rk 33.1 21 2 12 32 .090 .736 .022 1.89
2004 Lowell NYPL 20 Bos A 61.0 61 8 30 54 .109 .779 .042 5.16
2005 Greenville SAL 21 Bos A 44.2 49 3 18 54 .090 .705 .023 2.01
another 21-year-old with a good fastball and control problems. this one's better, though. wal and con are both lower.
so that was two super prospects, and two kinda prospects, and dumping mike lowell's contract, for josh beckett and guillermo mota. pretty good haul. next up is the mets trade: carlos delgado for yusmeiro petit, mike jacobs, and grant psomas.
Career Pitching Statistics for Yusmeiro Petit:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2003 Kingsport App 18 Nym Rk 62.0 47 2 8 65 .033 .721 .012 2.32
2003 Brooklyn NYPL 18 Nym A 12.1 5 0 2 20 .045 .524 .000 2.19
2004 St. Lucie FSL 19 Nym A 44.1 27 0 14 62 .080 .613 .000 1.22
2004 Capital City SAL 19 Nym A 83.0 47 8 22 122 .069 .588 .046 2.39
2004 Binghamton East 19 Nym AA 12.0 10 0 5 16 .098 .652 .000 4.50
2005 Binghamton East 20 Nym AA 117.2 90 15 18 130 .039 .707 .048 2.91
2005 Norfolk IL 20 Nym AAA 14.2 24 5 6 14 .081 .794 .093 9.20
this guy is just a beast. look at 2004, for example. he struck out 122, walked 22, and gave up 47 hits in 83 innings. in the sally league. his con was .588. he was 19. then at the age of 20 he struck out 130 and walked 18 in double-a. yusmeiro petit. remember that name. major league hitters are gonna see him in their nightmares. i hope he stays healthy.
Career Batting Statistics for Mike Jacobs:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1999 GCL Mets GCL 18 Nym Rk 147 14 30 4 12 .087 .796 .137 .333
2000 Kingsport App 19 Nym Rk 206 34 62 7 19 .142 .699 .181 .270
2000 Capital City SAL 19 Nym A 56 6 19 0 5 .097 .661 .135 .214
2002 St. Lucie FSL 21 Nym A 472 29 95 11 27 .058 .799 .101 .251
2003 Binghamton East 22 Nym AA 415 35 87 17 37 .078 .790 .165 .329
2004 Norfolk IL 23 Nym AAA 97 9 30 2 3 .085 .691 .075 .177
2005 Binghamton East 24 Nym AA 433 35 94 25 39 .075 .783 .189 .321
2005 New York Met NL 24 Nym MLB 101 11 22 11 7 .098 .782 .228 .310
mike jacobs. well, he has excellent power. 64 extra-base hits in 433 at-bats in double-a is nothing to sneeze at. and then, of course, he hit for power in the majors. but i have the feeling pitchers will adjust to him in 2006, and not throw him so many fastballs. he's gonna make it though. it'd be nice if he took more pitches.
Career Batting Statistics for Grant Psomas:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2003 West Virgini NCAA 20 0 NCA 197 23 45 9 14 .105 .772 .151 .289
2004 West Virgini NCAA 21 0 NCA 200 29 27 9 14 .127 .865 .133 .343
2004 Brooklyn NYPL 21 Nym A 226 26 48 3 15 .103 .788 .101 .233
2005 Hagerstown SAL 22 Nym A 350 62 79 19 29 .150 .774 .177 .300
2005 St. Lucie FSL 22 Nym A 118 15 29 1 10 .113 .754 .124 .305
grant psomas had a power breakout in 2005, but he still has trouble making contact. and he's in a-ball. it doesn't look good. 2006 is the make-or-break year.
so they got one best pitching prospect in baseball, one decent first baseman, one longshot power hitter, and one dumped contract, for what? for free? i gotta say that looks pretty good.
yeah yeah yeah carlos delgado. but carlos delgado at 13.5 million ain't that great. and the marlins have a serious world-series nucleus here. same thing they did in 98. i am not kidding.
the other deals were minor. they traded luis castillo for travis bowyer and scott tyler.
Career Pitching Statistics for Travis Bowyer :
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
1999 GCL Twins GCL 17 Min Rk 1.0 0 0 0 1 .000 .667 .000 0.00
2000 GCL Twins GCL 18 Min Rk 55.1 55 2 22 36 .091 .837 .011 4.07
2002 Quad City Midw 20 Min A 91.2 74 2 46 90 .116 .742 .008 2.16
2003 Fort Myers FSL 21 Min A 80.0 68 1 56 70 .154 .773 .004 3.82
2004 Fort Myers FSL 22 Min A 29.2 18 0 17 32 .137 .701 .000 0.30
2004 New Britain East 22 Min AA 61.1 42 3 38 65 .144 .712 .019 1.76
2005 Rochester IL 23 Min AAA 74.1 51 4 40 96 .127 .650 .022 2.78
2005 Minnesota Tw AL 23 Min MLB 9.2 10 3 3 12 .071 .692 .111 5.59
great contact rates, terrible walk rates. maybe he'll make it.
Career Pitching Statistics for Scott Tyler:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2001 GCL Twins GCL 18 Min Rk 10.2 11 0 2 14 .044 .674 .000 6.75
2002 Elizabethton App 19 Min Rk 67.2 37 5 46 92 .161 .617 .034 2.93
2003 Quad City Midw 20 Min A 106.1 93 7 82 110 .166 .733 .023 5.50
2004 Quad Cities Midw 21 Min A 103.2 73 3 64 132 .143 .656 .012 2.60
2005 Fort Myers FSL 22 Min A 118.1 106 18 48 109 .094 .764 .051 3.95
great contact rates, terrible walk rates. didn't i just say this? this guy's less likely to make it. his wal is worse and he hasn't pitched above a-ball.
the next trade is paul loduca for gaby hernandez and a player to be named.
Career Pitching Statistics for Gaby Hernandez:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2004 GCL Mets GCL 18 Nym Rk 49.2 25 1 12 58 .065 .667 .009 1.09
2004 Brooklyn NYPL 18 Nym A 3.0 2 0 0 6 .000 .455 .000 0.00
2005 St. Lucie FSL 19 Nym A 42.1 48 1 10 32 .054 .817 .007 5.74
2005 Hagerstown SAL 19 Nym A 92.2 59 4 30 99 .082 .706 .017 2.43
hernandez is very young and he struck a lot of people out in the sally league. he also limits home runs. good pickup.
i don't know who the player to be named is, but the trade's already worth it.
the marlins have a startling stockpile of young arms.
juan pierre netted sergio mitre, who's a guy, and two youngsters:
Career Pitching Statistics for Reynel Pinto:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
1999 Dominican Cu Dsl 17 Chc Rk 63.2 70 0 22 62 .078 .762 .000 4.38
2000 Azl Cubs Ariz 18 Chc Rk 30.0 42 3 16 23 .108 .826 .028 6.30
2001 Lansing Midw 19 Chc A 88.0 94 9 44 69 .109 .807 .031 5.22
2002 Daytona FSL 20 Chc A 32.2 45 5 11 24 .071 .832 .042 5.51
2002 Lansing Midw 20 Chc A 98.0 80 9 28 92 .070 .754 .032 3.31
2003 Daytona FSL 21 Chc A 114.2 91 4 45 104 .094 .761 .012 3.22
2004 West Tenness Sou 22 Chc AA 141.2 107 10 72 179 .119 .664 .028 2.92
2004 Iowa PCL 22 Chc AAA 9.1 9 2 8 9 .178 .757 .071 7.71
2005 West Tenness Sou 23 Chc AA 129.2 101 3 58 123 .106 .749 .008 2.78
2005 Iowa PCL 23 Chc AAA 22.2 31 3 24 24 .195 .758 .040 9.53
good contact rates, terrible walk rates.
Career Pitching Statistics for Ricky Nolasco:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2002 Boise Nwes 19 Chc A 90.2 72 1 25 92 .068 .733 .004 2.48
2003 Daytona FSL 20 Chc A 149.0 129 7 48 136 .077 .764 .016 2.96
2004 West Tenness Sou 21 Chc AA 107.0 104 13 37 115 .080 .729 .042 3.70
2004 Iowa PCL 21 Chc AAA 40.2 68 7 16 28 .078 .853 .043 9.30
2005 West Tenness Sou 22 Chc AA 161.2 151 13 46 173 .067 .728 .028 2.89
that's a quality year in double-a. i gotta think he's got a shot. awful lot of innings, though. is it really necessary to work these kids that hard?
and, finally . . .
Career Pitching Statistics for Ben Julianel:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl IP H HR BB SO WAL CON HRP ERA
2000 San Diego St NCAA 20 0 NCA 74.0 86 5 37 58 .107 .812 .020 4.62
2001 San Diego St NCAA 21 0 NCA 54.0 54 2 22 60 .092 .722 .013 5.00
2001 New Jersey NYPL 21 Stl A 85.1 88 1 26 86 .070 .750 .004 3.48
2002 Peoria Midw 22 Stl A 100.1 106 9 32 96 .073 .764 .029 3.50
2003 Peoria Midw 23 Stl A 51.2 41 1 25 78 .113 .602 .008 1.05
2003 Battle Creek Midw 23 Nyy A 5.1 6 0 2 10 .083 .545 .000 1.69
2004 Tampa FSL 24 Nyy A 59.1 52 2 24 70 .094 .696 .013 2.58
2004 Trenton East 24 Nyy AA 6.1 6 0 3 5 .107 .800 .000 5.68
2005 Trenton East 25 Nyy AA 87.2 88 7 50 106 .125 .698 .029 3.90
what's up, ben!
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