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Saturday, January 14, 2006
soriano vs. cano
in that last post i said robinson cano was better than alfonso soriano. i'm back, with numbers.
Career Batting Statistics for Robinson Cano:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
2001 GCL Yankees GCL 18 Nyy Rk 202 31 27 3 16 .133 .866 .109 .230
2001 Staten Islan NYPL 18 Nyy A 8 0 2 0 0 .000 .750 .000 .250
2002 Staten Islan NYPL 19 Nyy A 87 4 8 1 6 .044 .908 .089 .276
2002 Greensboro SAL 19 Nyy A 475 32 78 14 29 .063 .836 .108 .276
2003 Tampa FSL 20 Nyy A 369 21 49 5 19 .054 .867 .075 .276
2003 Trenton East 20 Nyy AA 164 15 16 1 10 .084 .902 .074 .280
2004 Trenton East 21 Nyy AA 296 27 40 7 28 .084 .865 .137 .301
2004 Columbus IL 21 Nyy AAA 218 19 27 6 11 .080 .876 .089 .259
2005 Columbus IL 22 Nyy AAA 108 6 13 4 11 .053 .880 .158 .333
2005 New York Yan AL 22 Nyy MLB 525 19 68 14 38 .035 .870 .114 .297
52 extra-base hits in 525 at-bats is quality. and he was 22. power usually peaks at 28. so he's got 6 more years of improvement coming.
soriano, at 22, was in triple-a.
Career Batting Statistics for Alfonso Soriano:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1996 Hiroshima Jap 18 0 Int 227 30 19 4 15 .117 .916 .091 .366
1997 Hiroshima Jap 19 0 Int 17 2 4 0 0 .105 .765 .000 .118
1997 Hiroshima Jap 19 0 Int 131 0 0 0 0 .000 1.00 .000 .214
1999 GCL Yankees GCL 21 Nyy Rk 19 1 3 1 2 .050 .842 .188 .263
1999 Norwich East 21 Nyy AA 361 32 67 15 23 .081 .814 .129 .305
1999 Columbus IL 21 Nyy AAA 82 5 18 2 6 .057 .780 .125 .183
1999 New York Yan AL 21 Nyy MLB 8 0 3 1 0 .000 .625 .200 .125
2000 Columbus IL 22 Nyy AAA 465 28 85 12 38 .057 .817 .132 .290
2000 New York Yan AL 22 Nyy MLB 50 1 15 2 3 .020 .700 .143 .180
2001 New York Yan AL 23 Nyy MLB 579 32 125 18 37 .052 .784 .121 .268
2002 New York Yan AL 24 Nyy MLB 703 37 157 39 53 .050 .777 .168 .300
2003 New York Yan AL 25 Nyy MLB 684 50 130 38 41 .068 .810 .143 .290
2004 Texas Ranger AL 26 Tex MLB 615 43 121 28 36 .065 .803 .130 .280
2005 Texas Ranger AL 27 Tex MLB 642 40 125 36 45 .059 .805 .157 .268
he came up in 2001 and had bad wal, bad con, and decent power. then his power broke out in 2002. at the age of 24. now he's at his peak. he has bad wal, bad con, and good pow. cano, at his peak, will have bad wal, great con, and good pow. the same wal and pow, with much better con. that means he can hit pedro martinez and josh beckett, instead of striking out like a bitch.
the other thing is soriano's numbers have been amplified by his ballpark. look at these splits:
g ab r h 2b3b hrrbi bb k sbcs avg obp slg ops
Home 78 311 60 98 27 2 25 73 18 51 14 2 .315 .355 .656 1.011
Away 78 326 42 73 16 0 11 31 15 74 16 0 .224 .265 .374 .639
did jim bowden see this when he traded for him? the rangers have the most extreme hitter's park in the league. and soriano is exactly the kind of player it helps the most: someone who swings too much, strikes out too much, and has power. take him out of that park, and he's terrible.
the difference will widen in the coming years. cano will improve, and soriano will decline. cano will hit more and more home runs; soriano will post more and more strikeouts. cano will steadily approach stardom; soriano will teeter on the edge of the cliff.
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