Julien's Faster than Light Blog
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Tuesday, January 10, 2006
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here's an interview of billy beane. beane is always charming even when he doesn't tell you what he's thinking. he's so energetic and engaging you don't even notice.
then there's an article on guillermo quiroz. i talked about him the other day.
i also want to mention kevin's royals blog. it's well-written, with a personal style.
i've been talking a lot about catchers lately. here's an article on ryan doumit that will motivate a discussion.
the article is not just about doumit. it's also about humberto cota.
the argument is cota sucks and doumit should start. in general i agree. but what happened to cota? he used to have promise.
Career Batting Statistics for Humberto Cota:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1997 GCL Devil Ra GCL 18 Tb Rk 133 17 27 2 7 .113 .797 .085 .241
1997 Hudson Valle NYPL 18 Tb A 9 0 1 0 0 .000 .889 .000 .222
1998 Princeton App 19 Tb Rk 245 32 59 15 17 .116 .759 .172 .310
1999 Hickory SAL 20 Pit A 133 21 20 2 13 .136 .850 .133 .271
1999 Charleston S SAL 20 Tb A 336 20 51 9 22 .056 .848 .109 .280
2000 Altoona East 21 Pit AA 434 24 80 8 21 .052 .816 .082 .261
2001 Nashville PCL 22 Pit AAA 380 33 74 14 24 .080 .805 .124 .297
2001 Pittsburgh P NL 22 Pit MLB 9 0 5 0 0 .000 .444 .000 .222
2002 Nashville PCL 23 Pit AAA 412 36 106 9 28 .080 .743 .121 .267
2002 Pittsburgh P NL 23 Pit MLB 17 1 4 0 1 .056 .765 .077 .294
2003 Nashville PCL 24 Pit AAA 200 22 59 8 9 .099 .705 .121 .205
2003 Pittsburgh P NL 24 Pit MLB 16 1 5 0 1 .059 .688 .091 .250
2004 Nashville PCL 25 Pit AAA 27 3 7 1 0 .100 .741 .050 .259
2004 Pittsburgh P NL 25 Pit MLB 66 4 20 5 2 .057 .697 .152 .227
2005 Indianapolis IL 26 Pit AAA 11 0 3 0 0 .000 .727 .000 .273
2005 Pittsburgh P NL 26 Pit MLB 300 19 80 7 21 .060 .733 .127 .242
in 2001 he was in triple-a and he was hitting. he had decent patience, decent contact, and good power. he was 22, which is very promising, especially for a catcher. then in 2002 his hitting regressed. he stuck out a lot more. in 2003 he struck out even more (per at-bat). then he stopped getting regular playing time. i don't know if he got injured or if they jerked him around.
checking the star . . .
there are no major injuries listed. i don't know what happened. anyway, he's clearly the backup.
Career Batting Statistics for Ryan Doumit:
Year Team Lg. Age Org Lvl AAB W K HR 23 WAL CON POW AVG
1999 GCL Pirates GCL 18 Pit Rk 85 15 14 1 5 .150 .835 .085 .282
2000 Williamsport NYPL 19 Pit A 253 27 33 2 20 .096 .870 .100 .313
2001 Hickory SAL 20 Pit A 148 14 32 2 6 .086 .784 .069 .270
2002 Hickory SAL 21 Pit A 263 26 40 6 15 .090 .848 .094 .322
2003 Lynchburg Caro 22 Pit A 466 58 79 11 39 .111 .830 .129 .275
2004 Altoona East 23 Pit AA 225 29 49 10 20 .114 .782 .170 .262
2005 Indianapolis IL 24 Pit AAA 165 16 36 12 11 .088 .782 .178 .345
2005 Pittsburgh P NL 24 Pit MLB 232 24 48 6 14 .094 .793 .109 .255
at 22, ryan doumit was in high a-ball. well behind cota's pace. but then his power broke out. in double-a he had a pow of .170. in triple-a he had a pow of .178. look for power in 2006. he projects to a .260 hitter with a .320 on-base percentage and 20--30 home runs. your standard "catcher with sock". eminently usable.
Comments:
that projection is more for 2007 than 2006. it also should be good for 2008, 2009, and 2010. the famous "peak seasons". of course he could outperform.
2006 should be more like 15--20 homers instead of 20--30.
Post a Comment2006 should be more like 15--20 homers instead of 20--30.
