the internationale
a couple weeks ago, i started a project to identify prospects. i was gonna do a "top prospects" article. three weeks later, i am no where close to done, so i'm just gonna write whatever.

what we have here is position players from the international league. i loaded everyone into a spreadsheet and calculated their wal con pow, using (2b+3b+hr)/(ab-k) for pow. equal weighting of extra-base hits mitigates park effects, which i don't know.

step 2 was to rank the players by predicted on-base percentage (pob). for that calculation, i used (wal)+(1-wal)*(con)*(.272+(pow)/2). here we go:

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

Scutaro, Marcos    244  33  34   9  .136  .863  .140  .391  norfolk tides

hit .311/.401/.520. in 2002, he hit .319/.375/.475, also for norfolk. he hit .295/.382/.432 for indianapolis in 2001. before that he was in buffalo. he's been raking for years, spending his prime in the minors. maybe there are defense concerns. he played 2b and 3b this year. there is definite value here. and he's batting .387 in 7 g in venezuela. he's 28.

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

LaForest, Pete     201  36  56  14  .158  .724  .204  .386  durham bulls

25-year-old lefty-hitting catcher in the devil rays' system. doesn't hit it often, but hits it far. this is the peak of his career. now is the time to use him.

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

Roberts, Brian     178  27  12   0  .130  .933  .083  .385  ottawa lynx

26-year-old switch hitting 2b. in case you weren't looking, he made the show. makes good contact. should develop power as he approaches his physical prime. speed and contact ensure a long career.

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

Crisp Coco         225  26  24   1  .120  .894  .128  .385  buffalo bisons

on top of these obvious skills, he's a switch-hitter. and he's fast. he's 24, and he plays center field.

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

Cust Jack          333  80  94   9  .193  .719  .116  .384  ottawa lynx

he just doesn't make enough contact to make it, despite his impressive walk totals. high walks + high strikeouts means rotoworld overvalues him.

                    ab  bb   k  hr   wal   con   pow   pob

Ryan Rob           181  21  24   6  .116  .869  .145  .380  syracuse sky chiefs

30-year-old lefty outfielder who's past his prime. he tore up tucson. minor league journeyman: oakland traded him to boston. boston cut him. toronto picked him hp. toronto cut him. the giants picked him up.


"X*Watson,",Matt,254,23,23,11,.107,.911,.127,.380,norfolk tides
"X#Estrada,",Johnny,354,30,30,10,.104,.917,.118,.376,richmond braves
"Sanchez,",Freddy,211,31,36,5,.135,.829,.126,.375,pawtucket red sox
"Mateo,",Ruben,217,26,34,9,.124,.845,.135,.375,louisville bats
"*Gross,",Gabe,182,31,56,5,.157,.692,.183,.369,syracuse sky chiefs
"*Zoccolillo,",Peter,443,51,70,12,.119,.845,.128,.369,indianapolis indians
"X#Martinez,",Victor,274,26,32,7,.108,.886,.105,.365,buffalo bisons
"*Clapp,",Stubby,286,46,66,3,.150,.771,.104,.362,richmond braves
"Hernandez,",Michel,282,37,35,4,.123,.877,.072,.360,columbus clippers
"*Abad,",Andy,504,55,67,13,.104,.869,.115,.360,pawtucket red sox
"Post,",Dave,248,30,35,4,.122,.861,.083,.359,columbus clippers
"Miller,",Corky,354,35,58,11,.105,.838,.130,.358,louisville bats
"Luuloa,",Keith,359,35,45,11,.090,.876,.126,.357,indianapolis indians
"*Glavine,",Mike,169,25,36,5,.128,.789,.119,.356,norfolk tides
"#Seguignol,",Fernando,402,34,81,28,.094,.800,.176,.355,columbus clippers
"X*Utley,",Chase,431,41,75,18,.106,.829,.127,.355,scranton/wilkes-barre red barons
"Zuniga,",Tony,261,27,47,12,.097,.821,.149,.353,syracuse sky chiefs
"Sequea,",Jorge,271,30,45,3,.117,.835,.097,.353,syracuse sky chiefs
"*Jennings,",Doug,169,17,48,5,.136,.721,.153,.353,indianapolis indians
"#Crespo,",Felipe,360,43,54,6,.117,.852,.084,.353,louisville bats
"Colangelo,",Mike,310,37,74,5,.133,.763,.118,.352,syracuse sky chiefs
"Johnson,",Russ,349,44,45,3,.117,.874,.061,.350,norfolk tides
"2*Budzinski,",Mark,259,37,56,1,.133,.785,.093,.350,louisville bats
"Truby,",Chris,430,44,77,16,.105,.822,.121,.350,durham bulls
"#Jensen,",Marcus,196,36,53,3,.159,.730,.077,.349,columbus clippers
"*Clark,",Howie,252,21,20,4,.085,.922,.080,.348,syracuse sky chiefs
"Dominique,",Andy,289,22,45,13,.090,.846,.126,.348,pawtucket red sox
"Sefcik,",Kevin,492,40,47,10,.078,.906,.102,.347,scranton/wilkes-barre red barons
"LaRocca,",Greg,500,40,53,10,.083,.895,.099,.347,buffalo bisons
"Chapman,",Travis,478,44,97,12,.109,.800,.124,.347,scranton/wilkes-barre red barons
"#Lamb,",David,405,49,60,2,.122,.854,.054,.346,rochester red wings
"Larson,",Brandon,282,28,70,20,.095,.754,.191,.346,louisville bats
"X*Rios,",Armando,155,14,30,6,.103,.809,.126,.346,charlotte knights
"#Rodriguez,",Luis,518,46,46,1,.086,.912,.080,.346,rochester red wings
"Ford,",Lew,211,10,28,3,.078,.868,.125,.346,rochester red wings
"*Morneau,",Justin,265,28,56,16,.107,.790,.133,.346,rochester red wings
"Bocachica,",Hiram,322,24,57,12,.095,.824,.127,.345,toledo mud hens
"*Minor,",Damon,328,27,60,16,.098,.819,.125,.345,scranton/wilkes-barre red barons
"Smith,",Bobby,458,40,74,8,.088,.841,.125,.345,columbus clippers
"*Valent,",Eric,450,60,102,12,.118,.776,.116,.344,scranton/wilkes-barre red barons
"Machado,",Robert,221,17,36,8,.083,.837,.135,.344,ottawa lynx
"Cuddyer,",Michael,186,25,49,3,.119,.745,.140,.344,rochester red wings
"Diaz,",Matt,253,16,45,8,.086,.824,.137,.342,durham bulls
"*Rushford,",Jim,373,30,33,9,.090,.912,.061,.341,indianapolis indians
"#Miles,",Aaron,546,40,52,11,.069,.905,.101,.341,charlotte knights
"*Gload,",Ross,508,29,60,18,.055,.883,.141,.341,charlotte knights
"*LaRoche,",Adam,264,27,58,8,.100,.785,.137,.341,richmond braves
"1#Santos,",Angel,214,32,50,5,.133,.767,.079,.340,pawtucket red sox
"T#Santos,",Angel,260,37,58,7,.127,.778,.084,.340,buffalo bisons
"*Burnham,",Gary,349,25,54,9,.083,.847,.117,.340,syracuse sky chiefs
"Hummel,",Tim,476,46,83,15,.096,.827,.108,.340,charlotte knights
"Rivera,",Juan,308,26,37,7,.077,.881,.102,.340,columbus clippers
"Ortiz,",Hector,221,20,23,0,.087,.896,.071,.338,durham bulls
"Chamblee,",Jim,263,29,59,5,.114,.777,.107,.338,louisville bats
"X*Morris,",Warren,206,16,26,2,.076,.874,.105,.338,toledo mud hens
"Ross,",Cody,470,32,86,20,.072,.820,.155,.338,toledo mud hens
"#Izturis,",Maicer,301,24,28,2,.076,.908,.080,.338,buffalo bisons
"Hammond,",Joey,348,44,60,0,.114,.829,.062,.336,ottawa lynx
"Brumbaugh,",Cliff,223,23,48,9,.093,.787,.136,.335,charlotte knights
"Vento,",Mike,184,14,36,5,.085,.804,.135,.335,columbus clippers
"Mouton,",Lyle,151,18,49,4,.131,.678,.146,.334,norfolk tides
"Mouton,",Lyle,352,37,93,14,.107,.740,.143,.334,buffalo bisons
"T*Budzinski,",Mark,418,53,95,2,.119,.774,.086,.334,louisville bats
"Moriarty,",Mike,176,21,30,3,.111,.831,.061,.334,syracuse sky chiefs
"*Pride,",Curtis,225,20,48,7,.096,.787,.124,.334,columbus clippers

- posted by julien @ 6:45 PM