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Wednesday, August 06, 2003
jose guillen
continuing to contradict rob neyer . . .
there is no reason to worry about jose guillen.
year Team Lea AB wal con pow pra
2003 Cin/Oak MLB 332 .051 .798 .372 6.60
2002 Ari/Cin NL 240 .055 .821 .318 3.86
2001 Tampa Bay AL 135 .043 .807 .310 3.23
2001 Durham AAA 119 .025 .765 .367 5.36
2000 Tampa Bay AL 316 .054 .794 .337 4.52
2000 Durham AAA 78 .093 .859 .439 14.87
1999 Pit/TB MLB 288 .065 .802 .304 3.10
1999 nash/dur AAA 166 .083 .831 .345 5.87
1998 Pittsburgh NL 573 .035 .825 .324 4.02
1997 Pittsburgh NL 498 .033 .823 .323 3.94
1996 Lynchburg A+ 528 .036 .862 .331 4.89
1995 Erie A 258 .037 .829 .346 5.35
1995 Augusta A 34 .056 .735 .376 5.74
born 5/17/76, he was 21--22 in 1997--98, when he was over his head in pittsburgh but still on a normal career path. then he got jerked around but managed to improve over the next four years, finally returning to the show for good. the thing that makes these stats hard to read are the sample sizes. many of them are low, and to get a sense of a season's worth of production, you have to interpolate between numbers that are half mashing, half hacking. in guillen's case, the mashing happened in the minors, and the hacking happened in the majors, so he probably acquired some sort of "can't hit major league pitching" tag. but hitting is hitting, and he's finally getting a chance to prove it. plus, his 27-year-old body has grown some muscles, so he's hitting harder than ever. and he's always had enough con.
he's probably been a little lucky in the pow department. at 330 ab, that can happen. so it may come down a bit. but that's fine. what's he got so far? .328/.378/.605 avg/obp/slg. what are the predictions? .295/.333/.574. still good numbers. strong acquisition. he's gonna make it.
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