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Tuesday, July 29, 2003
what, exactly, is a river cat?
ok nobody is doing any respectable minor-league analysis, so i'm gonna have to do it myself. i don't know how minor-league wal con pow translates to major-league numbers; for now, we'll have to play by ear. i suspect that wal and con come down about 20 points, and pow stays the same, because how hard you hit the ball is how hard you hit the ball. for now, that's our working hypothesis. it will be adjusted according to whim.
the first thing we're gonna do is look at the teams highest in the standings in their respective leagues, starting with the pcl. waddyaknow, it's the sacramento river cats!
age ab wal con pow pra
*Koonce, Graham 1b 28 359 .184 .730 .362 6.51
*McMillon, Billy of 31 153 .105 .804 .352 6.13
McCarty, Dave 1b 33 352 .118 .798 .346 5.83
Crosby, Bobby ss 23 350 .123 .746 .355 5.62
*Grabowski, Jaso of 27 221 .105 .833 .333 5.40
Edwards, Mike of 26 319 .124 .824 .327 5.11
*Lockwood, Mike of 26 151 .074 .874 .325 5.06
*Johnson, Mark c 27 101 .205 .842 .310 5.01
Lopez, Luis 3b 29 374 .072 .864 .321 4.66
#Rose, Mike c 26 148 .196 .791 .312 4.51
#Melhuse, Adam c 31 147 .155 .782 .318 4.38
*Prieto, Chris of 30 269 .129 .881 .303 4.32
German, Esteban 2b 25 322 .125 .860 .300 3.89
Flores, Jose ss 30 281 .154 .865 .291 3.62
*Sellier, Brian of 25 67 .095 .776 .289 2.52
stats from baseball america. a * in front means lefty; # means switch-hitter. isn't that cool?
these are some good baseball players. graham koonce, the best hitter, could start for a number of teams. at 28, though, he's not a prospect, so he'll probably fade into obscurity.
billy mcmillon, dave mccarty, and adam melhuse are at the show. melhuse i don't know why. mark johnson is better.
bobby crosby is the super-prospect: a power-hitting shortstop. presumably he'll take over for tejada next year. they say he's untouchable, but if i were billy beane, i'd trade him. he'll have some good years, but that con is gonna bring him down. also if i were beane i'd do something about my anger-management problem. billy, if you're reading this, give me a job!
mike lockwood, with that high con, could still develop. if he does, he'll last. he's someone to keep an eye on. ditto for esteban german, but he's got a lot of work to do.
that's about it. brian sellier maybe. he hasn't played enough to evaluate. here are his numbers from midland:
sellier (aa) 271 .140 .801 .329 5.11
nope. not gonna make it.
age ab wal con pow pra
Harden, Rich 21 319 .101 .715 .330 3.77
Fikac, Jeremy 28 147 .075 .741 .330 3.81
Harville, Chad 26 205 .093 .732 .330 3.88
Duchscherer, Just 25 458 .021 .801 .330 3.93
Harang, Aaron 25 242 .066 .764 .330 3.97
Valentine, Joe 23 192 .162 .734 .330 4.55
Lehr, Justin 25 211 .094 .791 .330 4.57
Wood, Mike 23 253 .063 .822 .330 4.61
Hiljus, Erik 30 534 .084 .815 .330 4.74
Enochs, Chris 27 171 .119 .807 .330 5.00
1 Silva, Jose 29 104 .096 .827 .330 5.02
Castillo, Frank 34 372 .097 .841 .330 5.22
*Kusiewicz, Mike 26 41 .180 .780 .330 5.30
*Yarnall, Ed 27 158 .102 .861 .330 5.53
Smith, Roy 27 204 .146 .833 .330 5.64
the "1" in front of silva's name means he went somewhere else.
wow, there is a lot of talent here. remember when eric hiljus was the a's fifth starter? now he's the ninth-best pitcher on a triple-a team. eighth. richie already made it. hiljus and up are all major-league quality. joe valentine could be something special if he could get his walks down. but that's true about a lot of guys.
i can't believe jeremy fikac isn't in the bigs. must be an options thing.
look at the ages on these guys! chad harville is a stud. and justin duchscherer don't walk nobody! with the a's defense, that's a nasty combination. aaron harang is better than barry zito. that's not as surprising as it sounds. zito's having a bad year.
i feel bad for these river cats. most of them are good enough for the majors, but will never get that shot. they're the property of the oakland a's. it's better for baseball, or something.
this team would easily beat the detroit tigers.
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