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Friday, June 20, 2003
jim thome .173 .706 .337
this goes in the category "good".
he's 32, though, thus on the decline (the decline rule works only for mortals. do not apply it to barry bonds.)
jim'll never be as good as he was last year:
2002: .209 .710 .525
those are the kind of numbers you get when you hit 52 hr and walk 127 times.
let's run his whole career:
1991 .058 .837 .134
1992 .093 .709 .133
1993 .176 .766 .271
1994 .125 .738 .346
1995 .184 .750 .324
1996 .203 .721 .418
1997 .199 .706 .414
1998 .174 .680 .428
1999 .210 .654 .402
2000 .180 .693 .378
2001 .179 .648 .513
2002 .209 .710 .525
2003 .173 .706 .337
total .182 .703 .396
as do most players, thome improved his patience and power until he reached his peak, which started in 1996 at the age of 25. notice the downward trend in contact. this is normal. it will eventually force him to retire. the power spike of 2001--2002 seems to be a slight anomaly, which does not bode well for the phillies and all the dollars they dumped.
it's been a great run, though. the center of the peak was 1999--2000, when he was 28--29. this is also normal.
compare with numbers we're used to (avg/obp/slg):
1991 .255/.298/.367
1992 .205/.275/.299
1993 .266/.385/.474
1994 .268/.359/.523
1995 .314/.438/.558
1996 .311/.450/.612
1997 .286/.423/.579
1998 .293/.413/.584
1999 .277/.426/.540
2000 .269/.398/.531
2001 .291/.416/.624
2002 .304/.445/.677
2003 .242/.371/.480
total .285/.412/.563
remarkable consistence. he's got a shot at the hall.
it's harder to tell with these numbers that the peak started in 1996. in '93 he developed patience and power. in '94 he slipped a bit in patience, but improved his power. in '95 he consolidated these gains. he became fully formed in '96.
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